# Scorecards side by side

Neighborhood kids, 2031-32 basis. See METHOD.md for definitions.

### K-5

| metric | today | status_quo | scenario_A | scenario_B | option1_2031only | option1_durable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| avg_walk_mi | 0.854 | 0.855 | 0.968 | 0.942 | 0.91 | 0.936 |
| pct_within_0.5mi | 33.4 | 33.4 | 24.9 | 26.6 | 25.3 | 25 |
| pct_within_1.0mi | 73.5 | 73.5 | 63 | 65.6 | 69.5 | 67.7 |
| pct_within_1.5mi | 89.6 | 89.6 | 86.1 | 87 | 89.6 | 88 |
| kids_over_bus_threshold | 3452 | 3454 | 4819 | 4490 | 3977 | 4214 |
| kids_past_closer_school | 1851 | 1855 | 1997 | 2170 | 765 | 1175 |
| schools_open | 54 | 54 | 41 | 44 | 41 | 41 |
| schools_in_range | 12 | 12 | 30 | 24 | 41 | 41 |
| schools_in_range_non_exempt | 10 | 10 | 28 | 22 | 39 | 39 |
| schools_evaluated_non_exempt | 52 | 52 | 39 | 42 | 39 | 39 |
| min_size | 168 | 168 | 177 | 177 | 178 | 178 |
| max_size | 602 | 603 | 558 | 558 | 558 | 558 |
| avg_utilization | 0.565 | 0.565 | 0.689 | 0.644 | 0.692 | 0.694 |
| schools_in_range_2025_26_basis | 17 | 17 | 31 | 26 | 37 | 40 |
| schools_in_range_at_minus9pct | 8 | 8 | 26 | 20 | 15 | 11 |
| kids_reassigned_vs_status_quo | 20 | 0 | 3135 | 2502 | 4773 | 4917 |
| kids_reassigned_vs_today | 0 | 20 | 3148 | 2518 | 4769 | 4910 |
| poc_share_of_movers_vs_status_quo | 0.306 | 0 | 0.421 | 0.453 | 0.434 | 0.432 |
| dissimilarity_index | 0.209 | 0.209 | 0.198 | 0.199 | 0.203 | 0.197 |

### 6-8

| metric | today | status_quo | scenario_A | scenario_B | option1_2031only | option1_durable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| avg_walk_mi | 1.507 | 1.52 | 1.74 | 1.736 | 1.749 | 1.721 |
| avg_bike_mi | 1.551 | 1.564 | 1.795 | 1.79 | 1.813 | 1.781 |
| pct_within_0.5mi | 15.3 | 15.3 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 7.3 |
| pct_within_1.0mi | 42 | 41.8 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 29.5 | 29.1 |
| pct_within_1.5mi | 62.4 | 61.5 | 55.1 | 55.1 | 53.8 | 52.4 |
| kids_over_bus_threshold | 2262 | 2320 | 2702 | 2702 | 2781 | 2867 |
| kids_past_closer_school | 1350 | 1407 | 1242 | 1199 | 1170 | 1206 |
| schools_open | 23 | 23 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| schools_in_range | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 15 |
| schools_in_range_non_exempt | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 13 |
| schools_evaluated_non_exempt | 21 | 21 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| min_size | 177 | 177 | 177 | 177 | 178 | 178 |
| max_size | 620 | 622 | 746 | 746 | 651 | 659 |
| avg_utilization | 0.628 | 0.627 | 0.732 | 0.731 | 0.734 | 0.732 |
| schools_in_range_2025_26_basis | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| schools_in_range_at_minus9pct | 4 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| kids_reassigned_vs_status_quo | 126 | 0 | 2116 | 2116 | 2861 | 2704 |
| kids_reassigned_vs_today | 0 | 126 | 2228 | 2228 | 2792 | 2629 |
| poc_share_of_movers_vs_status_quo | 0.61 | 0 | 0.399 | 0.399 | 0.406 | 0.42 |
| dissimilarity_index | 0.167 | 0.185 | 0.179 | 0.179 | 0.165 | 0.169 |
| n_split_feeders_es_to_ms | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |

### 9-12

| metric | today | status_quo | scenario_A | scenario_B | option1_2031only | option1_durable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| avg_walk_mi | 2.21 | 2 | 1.933 | 1.94 | 2.164 | 2.108 |
| avg_bike_mi | 2.282 | 2.063 | 2.001 | 2.007 | 2.238 | 2.177 |
| pct_within_0.5mi | 4.9 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 5.5 |
| pct_within_1.0mi | 19.9 | 23.4 | 23.4 | 23.4 | 19.3 | 21.2 |
| pct_within_1.5mi | 40.2 | 46.5 | 46.7 | 46.7 | 37 | 40.3 |
| pct_within_2.0mi | 53.4 | 61.2 | 61.8 | 61.8 | 51.3 | 56.1 |
| kids_over_bus_threshold | 5535 | 4959 | 4936 | 4936 | 5836 | 5525 |
| kids_past_closer_school | 1086 | 971 | 751 | 827 | 1711 | 1713 |
| schools_open | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| schools_in_range | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| schools_in_range_non_exempt | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| schools_evaluated_non_exempt | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| min_size | 11 | 1117 | 1181 | 1181 | 1101 | 1104 |
| max_size | 2011 | 1492 | 1543 | 1487 | 1736 | 1708 |
| avg_utilization | 0.762 | 0.757 | 0.76 | 0.759 | 0.757 | 0.761 |
| schools_in_range_2025_26_basis | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| schools_in_range_at_minus9pct | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| kids_reassigned_vs_status_quo | 1181 | 0 | 388 | 355 | 2247 | 1742 |
| kids_reassigned_vs_today | 0 | 1181 | 1565 | 1532 | 2595 | 2320 |
| poc_share_of_movers_vs_status_quo | 0.489 | 0 | 0.421 | 0.414 | 0.454 | 0.435 |
| dissimilarity_index | 0.158 | 0.173 | 0.18 | 0.178 | 0.146 | 0.134 |
| n_split_feeders_ms_to_hs | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| pct_ms_feeders_to_one_hs | 78.3 | 78.3 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 53.3 |
| hs_range | 693 | 375 | 362 | 306 | 636 | 604 |

### DLI / program moves vs today (2031-32 counts)

| plan | DLI kids moved | building closes | program moves |
|---|---|---|---|
| today | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| status_quo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| scenario_A | 1567 | 473 | 1094 |
| scenario_B | 1357 | 263 | 1094 |
| option1_2031only | 1567 | 473 | 1094 |
| option1_durable | 1567 | 473 | 1094 |

## Durability 2031-32 to 2040-41

### K-5: zoned non-exempt schools at target each year (PSU medium)

| plan | zoned | 2031-32 | 2032-33 | 2033-34 | 2034-35 | 2035-36 | 2036-37 | 2037-38 | 2038-39 | 2039-40 | 2040-41 | all 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| today | 51 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| status_quo | 51 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| scenario_A | 35 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| scenario_B | 38 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| option1_2031only | 35 | 35 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| option1_durable | 35 | 35 | 31 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |

### 6-8: zoned non-exempt schools at target each year (PSU medium)

| plan | zoned | 2031-32 | 2032-33 | 2033-34 | 2034-35 | 2035-36 | 2036-37 | 2037-38 | 2038-39 | 2039-40 | 2040-41 | all 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| today | 14 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| status_quo | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| scenario_A | 13 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| scenario_B | 13 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| option1_2031only | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| option1_durable | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |

### 9-12: zoned non-exempt schools at target each year (PSU medium)

| plan | zoned | 2031-32 | 2032-33 | 2033-34 | 2034-35 | 2035-36 | 2036-37 | 2037-38 | 2038-39 | 2039-40 | 2040-41 | all 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| today | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
| status_quo | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| scenario_A | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| scenario_B | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| option1_2031only | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| option1_durable | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |

## Check: our Scenario A building sizes vs PPS family-guide 2031-32 A projections

Mean absolute difference 5.2% over 62 buildings.

| school | type | ours_2031 | pps_A_2031 | diff_pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott | K-5 | 413 | 470 | -12 |
| Vernon | K-5 | 288 | 323 | -10.8 |
| Beaumont | 6-8 | 449 | 498 | -9.9 |
| Laurelhurst | K-5 | 323 | 359 | -9.9 |
| Faubion | K-5 | 373 | 407 | -8.3 |
| Sitton | K-5 | 414 | 449 | -7.8 |
| Duniway | K-5 | 428 | 463 | -7.5 |
| Tubman | 6-8 | 423 | 455 | -7 |
| Beverly Cleary | K-5 | 451 | 484 | -6.8 |
| Bridger | K-5 | 285 | 305 | -6.6 |
| Cleveland | 9-12 | 1238 | 1322 | -6.3 |
| Clark | K-5 | 256 | 272 | -5.9 |
| Glencoe | K-5 | 301 | 317 | -5.2 |
| Lane | 6-8 | 435 | 457 | -4.7 |
| Arleta | K-5 | 519 | 543 | -4.4 |
| Abernethy | K-5 | 349 | 365 | -4.4 |
| Atkinson | K-5 | 395 | 413 | -4.3 |
| Whitman | K-5 | 447 | 465 | -4 |
| Gray | 6-8 | 472 | 490 | -3.7 |
| Rieke | K-5 | 418 | 432 | -3.3 |
| Chief Joseph | K-5 | 403 | 417 | -3.3 |
| Kellogg | 6-8 | 567 | 579 | -2.1 |
| Markham | K-5 | 539 | 549 | -1.9 |
| Rosa Parks | K-5 | 464 | 472 | -1.7 |
| MLK Jr | K-5 | 377 | 383 | -1.6 |
| Vestal | K-5 | 492 | 500 | -1.6 |
| Bridlemile | K-5 | 407 | 413 | -1.5 |
| Boise-Eliot/Humboldt | K-5 | 505 | 512 | -1.4 |
| Lincoln | 9-12 | 1314 | 1331 | -1.3 |
| Kelly | K-5 | 396 | 401 | -1.1 |
| Jefferson | 9-12 | 1181 | 1190 | -0.8 |
| Alameda | K-5 | 490 | 493 | -0.7 |
| Hayhurst | K-5 | 409 | 410 | -0.1 |
| Grout | K-5 | 280 | 280 | 0 |
| Lee | K-5 | 254 | 254 | -0 |
| Richmond | K-5 | 497 | 497 | 0 |
| Woodlawn | K-5 | 289 | 289 | -0 |
| Skyline | K-8 | 177 | 177 | 0 |
| Forest Park | K-5 | 258 | 258 | 0 |
| Ainsworth | K-5 | 557 | 557 | 0 |
| Grant | 9-12 | 1487 | 1487 | 0 |
| West Sylvan | 6-8 | 622 | 620 | 0.3 |
| Astor | K-8 | 431 | 430 | 0.3 |
| Ida B. Wells | 9-12 | 1461 | 1457 | 0.3 |
| Roosevelt | 9-12 | 1212 | 1205 | 0.6 |
| McDaniel | 9-12 | 1290 | 1281 | 0.7 |
| Chapman | K-5 | 336 | 333 | 0.9 |
| Jackson | 6-8 | 409 | 404 | 1.1 |
| Mt Tabor | 6-8 | 554 | 546 | 1.4 |
| Woodstock | K-5 | 412 | 406 | 1.5 |
| Capitol Hill | K-5 | 386 | 379 | 1.7 |
| Ockley Green | 6-8 | 521 | 507 | 2.7 |
| Franklin | 9-12 | 1543 | 1476 | 4.6 |
| Harrison Park | 6-8 | 620 | 591 | 5 |
| Cesar Chavez | K-5 | 558 | 527 | 5.8 |
| George | 6-8 | 673 | 636 | 5.8 |
| Rigler | K-5 | 544 | 505 | 7.7 |
| Llewellyn | K-5 | 431 | 399 | 8.1 |
| Lent | K-5 | 457 | 421 | 8.6 |
| Roseway Heights | 6-8 | 746 | 628 | 18.8 |
| Hosford | 6-8 | 669 | 557 | 20.2 |
| Sunnyside | K-5 | 417 | 235 | 77.4 |