---
title: "PSU Population Research Center: PPS Enrollment Forecasts 2026-27 to 2035-36 (July 24, 2026)"
source_url: "https://www.pps.net/fs/resource-manager/view/8f9d62cd-5056-4cdc-8435-4bcba8ba86b1"
parent_url: "26-10-01 Q&A tracker p.15 (\"PRC Report\") and p.28 (\"Here\" -> identical file at https://drive.google.com/file/d/1YHR9m-nb55T0e8ZWdxDU3fol8tVWtXnS/view)"
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---

# PSU Population Research Center: PPS Enrollment Forecasts 2026-27 to 2035-36 (July 24, 2026)

Unofficial text extraction of a public PPS document for accessibility and research. May contain extraction errors; consult the original at https://www.pps.net/fs/resource-manager/view/8f9d62cd-5056-4cdc-8435-4bcba8ba86b1.

## Page 1

PORTLAND PUBLIC SCHOOLS
ENROLLMENT FORECASTS
2026-27 to 2035-36
Population Research Center
July 24, 2026

[Note: this page contains a map, chart or other graphic. Only its text labels are captured above; the map's lines, shading, boundaries and imagery are not captured in text.]

## Page 2

Contents
1
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1
1.1
Demographic Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
1
1.2
Enrollment Trends
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2
1.3
Summary of Enrollment Forecast Results
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
3
2
POPULATION AND HOUSING TRENDS
4
2.1
Population by Age Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
6
2.2
Births . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
7
2.3
Housing Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9
2.4
Affordable Housing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
13
3
ENROLLMENT TRENDS
16
3.1
Private Schools, Homeschooling, and District Capture Rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
17
3.2
Enrollment Trends by Place of Residence
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
18
4
ENROLLMENT FORECASTS
20
4.1
Forecast Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
20
4.2
Forecast Data and Methodology
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
21
4.3
Forecast Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
24
4.3.1
District-wide Enrollment Forecasts
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
24
4.3.2
Enrollment Forecasts by Grade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
24
4.4
Forecast Accuracy and Uncertainty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
27
5
APPENDICES
30
List of Tables
2.1
Population Growth and Trends by Jurisdiction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
4
2.2
Population Under Age 18, PPS High School Clusters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
6
2.3
Births by High School Cluster
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9
2.4
Single Family Housing Units in PPS Permitted by City of Portland by HSCL, 2005 to
2025 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
11
1

## Page 3

2.5
Multi-Family Housing Units in PPS Permitted by City of Portland by HSCL, 2005 to
2025 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
11
2.6
Children in households by housing type, 2016 to 2024 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
13
2.7
New Affordable Housing Recently Constructed or Under Development within PPS . .
15
3.1
Portland Public Schools, Historic K-12 Enrollment, 2016-2025 . . . . . . . . . . . . .
16
3.2
School Enrollment by Type of School, PPS District Residents, 2019 and 2024 . . . . .
17
3.3
PPS Historic Enrollment by Grade Level and High School Cluster of Residence . . . .
19
4.1
Affordable Housing Student Generation Rates per regulated affordable 2+ bedroom unit
22
4.2
District Enrollment Forecasts by Individual Grade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
26
4.3
Forecast Errors by Grade: PPS, 2025 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
28
4.4
Forecast Errors by Years since Forecast: PPS, 2012-2024 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
29
5.1
Population Projection: Portland Public Schools, 2030-2040 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
30
5.2
Enrollment Projection (Medium Scenario): Portland Public Schools, 2026-2040 . . . .
31
5.3
Enrollment Projection (Low Scenario): Portland Public Schools, 2026-2040 . . . . . .
32
5.4
Enrollment Projection (High Scenario): Public Schools, 2026-2040 . . . . . . . . . . .
33
5.5
Enrollment Projection by Grade Group: Portland Public Schools, 2026-2035 . . . . . .
List of Figures
2.1
District Overview Map . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
5
2.2
Population by Age Group, PPS, 2000, 2010, and 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
7
2.3
Age-Specific Fertility Rates, 1990 to 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8
2.4
Annual Births to PPS Residents, 2000 to 2025 Residents of Portland Public Schools
.
8
2.5
Median Age of Mother at Birth of Child by Place of Residence . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9
2.6
Housing Units Authorized in PPS by City of Portland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10
2.7
Housing Units Authorized in PPS by HSCL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
12
2.8
Affordable Housing Development Map . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
14
4.1
Net Migration to/from PPS, 2010–2040
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
22
4.2
Capture Rate at KG/Grade 1: PPS, 2000–2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
23
4.3
Grade Progression Ratios: PPS, 2000–2025 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
23
4.4
District-wide Enrollment Forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
25
2

## Page 4

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This report presents the methodology and findings of a demographic study conducted by the Portland
State University Population Research Center (PRC) on behalf of Portland Public Schools (PPS). It
includes an analysis of demographic, housing, and enrollment trends that affect PPS, as well as detailed
annual enrollment forecasts for the district and its individual schools, categorized by grade as of October
1 for each academic year.
1.1
Demographic Trends
Between 2000 and 2010, the population of the PPS area grew at an annualized rate of 0.8%, increasing
from 425,932 to 459,982 residents. Growth accelerated in the following decade; between the 2010 and
2020 decennial censuses, the population grew by 1.2% annually, reaching 519,048 residents. The 2021
American Community Survey (ACS) estimated a subsequent one-year population decrease of 2.1% (to
508,401), likely due to disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, between 2021 and
2023, the ACS indicates that the PPS area returned to growth at an annualized rate of 0.6%, reaching
514,653 before stabilizing at 513,647 in 2024. The percentage of Portland’s total population residing
within the PPS boundary remains at approximately 81%.
The PPS area is younger on average than the rest of the state, featuring a significantly higher pro-
portion of residents aged 20 to 39 years (36%, compared to 27% statewide) and a lower female median
age (38.2, compared to 41.9 statewide). Despite its younger demographic, Portland’s birth rate has de-
clined significantly over the past 20 years and sits well below the state average. Approximately 2.7% of
women aged 15 to 50 reported having given birth in the past year, compared to 4.4% statewide. Notably,
the city’s total fertility rate – an approximation of the expected lifetime births per woman – has dropped
from 1.89 in 2010 to 0.84 in 2024. This persistent downward trend exerts downward pressure on PPS
enrollment, which can only be offset by an increase in the in-migration of children or a decline in the
share of children in private or alternative schooling options.
The U.S. Census Bureau counted 253,369 housing units in the PPS zone in 2020, up from 219,365 in
2010 (an annual growth rate of 1.4%). According to the Regional Land Information System, by January
1, 2026, the total number of housing units had increased further to 270,599, maintaining a steady an-
nualized growth rate of approximately 1.3%. Multifamily structures have accounted for approximately
84% of new housing units since 2010 and tend to consist of smaller rental units with fewer children.
Consequently, the average household size has trended downward. In 2024, the average household size
in the PPS area was 2.02 (2.34 for owner-occupied housing and 1.70 for renter-occupied units). The
1

## Page 5

1.2 Enrollment Trends
2
only segment of households that has grown significantly since 2015 is those with just one to two people.
Alongside these shifting household dynamics, the area maintains a relatively strong financial profile.
The median household income in the PPS zone ($96,340) is higher than that of Multnomah County
overall ($90,740) and the statewide average ($85,220). New affordable housing projects within the PPS
boundary scheduled for occupancy starting in the 2026–27 school year include nearly 1,002 family-size
units with two or more bedrooms. These units are projected to house approximately 641 students in
PPS schools.
1.2
Enrollment Trends
In fall 2025, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 42,622 students in grades K–12, a decrease of 753
students from fall 2024 and sitting just over 6,000 students below the pre-pandemic baseline of 2019–
20. Post-pandemic trajectories have diverged among individual schools within the PPS system; some
have returned to pre-pandemic enrollment patterns, while others continue to experience persistently low
enrollment in their neighborhoods. The overall resident capture rate in the district has increased from
74.4% in fall 2019 to an estimated 76.6% in 2025. However, this recent recovery is still 5.6 percentage
points lower than the district’s previous high of 82.2% in 2015.
Enrollment declined by 7.5% during the two-year period from fall 2019 to fall 2021. This contrac-
tion was primarily attributable to household shifts during the COVID-19 pandemic, either by moving
outside the district boundaries or opting for alternative educational options, including private schools,
online charter schools, or homeschooling.
The greatest declines during the COVID-19 pandemic were observed in the elementary grades.
Specifically, cohorts entering kindergarten (K) were much smaller in 2020–21 and 2021–22, as the share
of the population aged 5 enrolled in a PPS school (“K capture rate”) decreased from approximately 73%
in 2019 to 68% in 2020 and 70% in 2021. In 2022, the capture rate for the K cohort returned to 73%
and has fluctuated from 77% in 2023 to an estimated 74% in 2025.
District-wide middle school enrollment experienced mostly steady growth between 2010 and 2019.
The pandemic coincided with a reversal of the trend. In the fall of 2021, there was a loss of nearly 700
students in 6th–8th grade when schools returned to in-person learning with masking. The subsequent
two years saw average losses of 250 students per year. These losses were only partially due to the
pandemic: elementary enrollment declines, driven by low birth rates and a declining K capture rate,
began to appear as early as 2013 and were felt when those entering cohorts reached sixth grade in
the fall of 2019. By fall of 2024 and 2025, the middle school grades lost only 18 and 53 students,
respectively, which may reflect students who left during the pandemic returning to the district at the
middle school entry point.
High school enrollment increased throughout the pandemic; however, it has now begun to decline.
Between fall of 2020 and fall 2021, enrollment in 9th–12th grade increased by 252 students, followed by
an additional 53 students between 2021 and 2022. This resulted in a total enrollment of 14,389 students
in the fall of 2022, the highest level since 2005–2006. High school enrollment numbers remained
relatively stable for the following two years. However, between the fall of 2024 and the fall of 2025,

## Page 6

1.3 Summary of Enrollment Forecast Results
3
total enrollment declined by more than 200 students. This sudden shift marks the onset of a period of
decline in high school enrollment, driven by smaller elementary and middle school cohorts that began
in 2013 and are now reaching high school.
1.3
Summary of Enrollment Forecast Results
Enrollment is projected to continue to decline from the 2025 fall level to 36,763 in 2035–36. Subse-
quently, enrollment is projected to level off, declining by less than 1% per year over the following 5
years, as historically small entry classes from the COVID period age out and higher capture rates in
earlier grades yield larger incoming classes.
The kindergarten and first-grade capture rates are predictive of an age cohort’s future attachment to
PPS. To maintain enrollment, PPS will need more school-age children in the district or a higher share
of the age-eligible population to choose to enroll in a PPS classroom at these early grade levels.
In the fall of 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the resident kindergarten capture rate hit a 15-
year low of 68%; however, it has since recovered, reaching approximately 74% in the fall of 2025. The
K capture rate is expected to continue to increase to 79% by the fall of 2028.
Another factor putting downward pressure on enrollments is that the underlying population aged 5,
which forms the pool eligible for kindergarten enrollment, has also been declining. This is the result of
declining birth rates since 2010 and is not expected to reverse within the enrollment forecast horizon.
In addition, more children under the age of 5 tend to migrate out of the PPS district with their families
than migrate in. As a result, all future growth in kindergarten and first grade enrollment is expected to
come from capturing a larger share of the age-eligible population entering PPS.
In total, PPS kindergartens are expected to enroll 2,969 students in the 2026–27 school year, an
increase of 50 students from the fall 2025 enrollment. Overall, district-wide enrollment for grades K–5
is expected to decline from 18,695 to 18,427 students. The decline is projected to continue until the
2037–38 school year, when enrollment will begin a slight recovery from its low of 16,435.
District-wide enrollment for grades 6–8 will see declines in fall 2026, from 9,753 to 9,590 (-1.7%).
As smaller elementary cohorts progress through the middle school grades, enrollment will continue to
decline to a low of 7,624 students in 2040–41.
High schools were resilient during the pandemic, even as elementary and middle schools saw large
declines. District-wide enrollment for grades 9–12 is projected to decline in fall 2026, from 14,174 to
13,904 students (-1.9%). Eventually, the impact of smaller classes in elementary and middle schools
will be felt as declining high school cohort sizes. Although some years may see minor fluctuations, the
overall trend is towards declining high school enrollment, falling to 11,462 in the 2040–41 school year.

## Page 7

POPULATION AND HOUSING TRENDS
From 2000 to 2010, the population within the PPS boundary grew steadily, increasing by 34,050 resi-
dents from 425,932 to 459,982. This growth trend accelerated in the following decade, with a gain of
59,066 from 2010 to 2020. In 2020, the district population reached 519,048. However, by 2024, the
district population is estimated to have decreased to 513,647.
Table 2.1 shows these changes alongside city and statewide trends. Between 2000 and 2010, the
district’s growth rate was 8%, lower than that of both the City of Portland (10.3%) and the state of
Oregon (12%). Conversely, between 2010 and 2020, the District’s growth rate accelerated to 12.8%,
outpacing both the city and state. Following the COVID-19 pandemic, the total population of the PPS
district fell by approximately 1%, less than the 2.4% in the city of Portland but more than the 0.8%
increase in the state of Oregon as a whole. As a result, because the city’s population declined faster
than the school district’s, the proportion of Portland’s overall city population residing within the PPS
boundary steadily expanded from 79% in 2010 to 81% in 2024. Figure 2.1 illustrates the boundaries
and locations of the PPS schools.
Table 2.1: Population Growth and Trends by Jurisdiction
2000
2010
2020
2024
Change
2000-10
Change
2010-20
Change
2020-24
Portland Public Schools
425,932
459,982
519,048
513,647
8%
12.8%
-1%
Portland City (total)
529,121
583,776
652,503
636,958
10.3%
11.8%
-2.4%
Oregon
3,421,399 3,831,074
4,237,256
4,272,371
12%
10.6%
0.8%
4

### Table(s) detected on page 7 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|2000 2010 2020 2024|Change Change Change<br>2000-10 2010-20 2020-24|
|---|---|
|Portland Public Schools<br>425_,_932<br>459_,_982<br>519_,_048<br>513_,_647<br>Portland City (total)<br>529_,_121<br>583_,_776<br>652_,_503<br>636_,_958<br>Oregon<br>3_,_421_,_399 3_,_831_,_074<br>4_,_237_,_256<br>4_,_272_,_371|8%<br>12.8%<br>-1%<br>10.3%<br>11.8%<br>-2.4%<br>12%<br>10.6%<br>0.8%|



## Page 8

5
Fig. 2.1: District Overview Map

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## Page 9

2.1 Population by Age Group
6
2.1
Population by Age Group
Table 2.2 provides a demographic snapshot of the population under 18 years old living in current high
school clusters (HSCLs). Between 2000 and 2020, the District saw an increase of more than 95,000
adults but a slight decrease in the number of children. Specifically, the under-18 population decreased
by 4,663 between 2000 and 2010, with declines in all HSCLs except Grant and Lincoln. In contrast,
between 2010 and 2020, this age group experienced a modest growth of 2,258, despite declines in
McDaniel, Roosevelt, and the Jefferson HSCL portion with dual assignment to Roosevelt.
Table 2.2: Population Under Age 18, PPS High School Clusters
HS Cluster
2000
2010
2020
Change
2000-10
Change
2010-20
Cleveland
11,428
11,365
12,305
−63
940
Franklin
14,666
13,305
13,436
−1,361
131
Grant
4,485
4,806
5,302
321
496
Ida B. Wells
11,744
11,385
12,584
−359
1,199
Jeff-Grant
6,733
5,333
5,492
−1,400
159
Jeff-Madison
4,241
3,137
3,503
−1,104
366
Jeff-Roosevelt
7,636
6,008
5,612
−1,628
−396
Lincoln
5,115
6,635
7,949
1,520
1,314
McDaniel
11,422
10,990
10,002
−432
−988
Roosevelt
7,593
7,436
6,473
−157
−963
PPS Total
85,063
80,400
82,658
-4,663
2,258
Significant changes have occurred in the age distribution of the adult population. Table 2.2 illus-
trates these shifts using data from the last three decennial censuses. The age groups 25–29 and 30–34
have consistently been the largest blocks in the District’s demographic composition between 2000 and
2020, while the 35–39 and 40–44 groups have been the next largest since 2010. Overall, people aged
25–44 years comprised 38.4% of PPS residents in 2020, up from 35.7% in 2000 and 37% in 2010. In
addition, Figure 2.2 demonstrates the aging trend of the baby boom generation. Although their share
of the total population shrinks over the years, this generation born in the late 1940s and early 1950s
creates a visible upward shift in the older age brackets as they age over time, from the 45–54 age group
in 2000 to 55–64 in 2010, and 65–74 by 2020.

### Table(s) detected on page 9 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|HS Cluster 2000 2010 2020|Change Change<br>2000-10 2010-20|
|---|---|
|Cleveland<br>11_,_428<br>11_,_365<br>12_,_305<br>Franklin<br>14_,_666<br>13_,_305<br>13_,_436<br>Grant<br>4_,_485<br>4_,_806<br>5_,_302<br>Ida B. Wells<br>11_,_744<br>11_,_385<br>12_,_584<br>Jeff-Grant<br>6_,_733<br>5_,_333<br>5_,_492<br>Jeff-Madison<br>4_,_241<br>3_,_137<br>3_,_503<br>Jeff-Roosevelt<br>7_,_636<br>6_,_008<br>5_,_612<br>Lincoln<br>5_,_115<br>6_,_635<br>7_,_949<br>McDaniel<br>11_,_422<br>10_,_990<br>10_,_002<br>Roosevelt<br>7_,_593<br>7_,_436<br>6_,_473|_−_63<br>940<br>_−_1_,_361<br>131<br>321<br>496<br>_−_359<br>1_,_199<br>_−_1_,_400<br>159<br>_−_1_,_104<br>366<br>_−_1_,_628<br>_−_396<br>1_,_520<br>1_,_314<br>_−_432<br>_−_988<br>_−_157<br>_−_963|
|**PPS Total**<br>**85,063**<br>**80,400**<br>**82,658**|**-4,663**<br>**2,258**|



## Page 10

2.2 Births
7
Fig. 2.2: Population by Age Group, PPS, 2000, 2010, and 2020
2.2
Births
Despite the growing number of young adults in the District, the average number of births per woman
under age 30 declined significantly. Figure 2.3 highlights this transformation using age-specific fertility
rates (ASFRs) for women across age groups. By 2020, ASFRs for women in the PPS area under 25
had dropped by approximately 72% from their 1990 levels, while the rates for those aged 25 to 29 had
dropped by nearly 60% from their 1990 levels. The number of births to women under age 25 within the
PPS area fell from 1,768 in 2000 to 860 in 2010, and further down to 294 by 2020.
The total fertility rate (TFR), an indicator of the average number of children a woman is expected
to have during her childbearing years, has also seen a notable decrease. In 2000, the TFR was 1.67; by
2010, it had dropped to 1.36, and by 2024, it was 0.77. The falling fertility rates among women under 30
were partially offset by increases among women over 30, alongside overall population growth, thereby
slowing the decline in the number of births within PPS. Despite the increase in the number of women
in prime childbearing ages, the annual number of births has been decreasing since 2010, with a 25.7%
reduction between 2010 and 2020 and an additional 9.4% by 2024, as illustrated in Figure 2.4.
In addition, the median age of women giving birth has increased significantly. In 2010, the median
ages were 26 and 24 years in PPS and in the state as a whole, respectively. By 2020, this age rose to 30
years for PPS residents, compared to 27 years in the state, where the median age of women giving birth
has remained at that level through 2025, as shown in Figure 2.5.
Table 2.3 shows the birth trends in HSCLs in the last 15 years, divided into three 5-year periods. All
HSCLs experienced declines in births between the first two periods, with only Lincoln’s HSCL limited
to single-digit declines. Similarly, all clusters saw double-digit declines in the most recent two periods
with the exception of Ida B. Wells-Barnett and Lincoln HSCLs, which both held to a 9% decline.

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## Page 11

2.2 Births
8
Fig. 2.3: Age-Specific Fertility Rates, 1990 to 2020
Fig. 2.4: Annual Births to PPS Residents, 2000 to 2025 Residents of Portland Public Schools

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## Page 12

2.3 Housing Trends
9
Fig. 2.5: Median Age of Mother at Birth of Child by Place of Residence
Table 2.3: Births by High School Cluster
HS Cluster
2011-15
2016-20
2021-25
2011-15
to 2016-20
Change
2016-20
to 2021-25
Change
Cleveland
3,890
3,233
2,751
-17%
-15%
Franklin
4,676
3,763
3,034
-20%
-19%
Grant
1,478
1,147
981
-22%
-14%
Ida B. Wells-Barnett
3,370
2,909
2,659
-14%
-9%
Jefferson
4,564
3,801
3,071
-17%
-19%
Lincoln
2,389
2,217
2,014
-7%
-9%
McDaniel
3,556
2,887
2,317
-19%
-20%
Roosevelt
2,959
2,505
2,074
-15%
-17%
PPS Total
26,882
22,462
18,901
-16%
-16%
2.3
Housing Trends
Figure 2.6 illustrates the annual totals of new single-family and multi-family housing units permitted
in the district from 2000 to 2025. The general trend across PPS has been greater housing unit density,
marked by a steady decrease in single-family units and a significant increase in multi-family units.
Table 2.4, Table 2.5, and Figure 2.7 recount housing permitting activity by HSCL for the past 25 years.

### Table(s) detected on page 12 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|HS Cluster 2011-15 2016-20 2021-25|2011-15 2016-20<br>to 2016-20 to 2021-25<br>Change Change|
|---|---|
|Cleveland<br>3_,_890<br>3_,_233<br>2_,_751<br>Franklin<br>4_,_676<br>3_,_763<br>3_,_034<br>Grant<br>1_,_478<br>1_,_147<br>981<br>Ida B. Wells-Barnett<br>3_,_370<br>2_,_909<br>2_,_659<br>Jefferson<br>4_,_564<br>3_,_801<br>3_,_071<br>Lincoln<br>2_,_389<br>2_,_217<br>2_,_014<br>McDaniel<br>3_,_556<br>2_,_887<br>2_,_317<br>Roosevelt<br>2_,_959<br>2_,_505<br>2_,_074|-17%<br>-15%<br>-20%<br>-19%<br>-22%<br>-14%<br>-14%<br>-9%<br>-17%<br>-19%<br>-7%<br>-9%<br>-19%<br>-20%<br>-15%<br>-17%|
|**PPS Total**<br>26_,_882<br>22_,_462<br>18_,_901|-16%<br>-16%|



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## Page 13

2.3 Housing Trends
10
Fig. 2.6: Housing Units Authorized in PPS by City of Portland
Between 2005 and 2009, the district saw approximately 3000 units permitted per year. Over the
next five years, production decreased to approximately 1,900 units per year, reflecting the economic
downturn following the 2008 financial crisis. The 2015 to 2019 period marked a sharp recovery phase,
particularly in multi-family construction, which saw a quadrupling of permitted units. Between 2020
and 2024, multi-family housing outpaced single-family housing by approximately 6:1. The pace of
multi-family housing has since slowed from its 2017 peak of over 9,000 new units, dropping to approx-
imately 3,000 units permitted in 2024. Notably, 2025 saw a drastic slowdown in both single-family and
multi-family housing units, with counts dropping to just 201 and 275 units, respectively, suggesting the
PPS area may be moving back into a slower growth period.
At the HSCL level, from 2020 to 2025, four HSCLs accounted for more than 70% of new single-
family units. They are Jefferson (624 new homes, 21%), Cleveland (583 new homes, 20%), Roosevelt
(487 new homes, 16%), and Franklin (478 new homes, 16%). During the same period, multi-family
development was similarly concentrated, with Lincoln (5,065 new homes, 31%), Cleveland (4,156 new
homes, 26%), and Jefferson (3,435 new homes, 21%) accounting for nearly 78% of new homes.

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## Page 14

2.3 Housing Trends
11
Table 2.4: Single Family Housing Units in PPS Permitted by City of Portland by HSCL, 2005 to 2025
HS Cluster
2005-09
2010-14
2015-19
2020-24
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Cleveland
572
376
812
552
110
91
124
153
74
31
Franklin
582
398
737
446
158
78
53
70
87
32
Grant
38
62
181
87
25
10
19
18
15
2
Ida B. Wells
606
203
420
273
68
24
68
55
58
41
Jefferson
460
501
997
574
195
85
65
139
90
50
Lincoln
394
118
165
127
38
12
27
27
23
1
McDaniel
455
178
538
275
110
34
26
48
57
6
Roosevelt
728
286
488
449
85
54
92
100
118
38
PPS Total
3,835
2,122
4,338
2,783
789
388
474
610
522
201
Table 2.5: Multi-Family Housing Units in PPS Permitted by City of Portland by HSCL, 2005 to 2025
HS Cluster
2005-09
2010-14
2015-19
2020-24
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Cleveland
630
1,365
6,418
4,132
1,278
167
873
881
933
24
Franklin
445
481
2,349
644
133
135
149
132
95
35
Grant
122
515
810
396
124
74
162
23
13
1
Ida B. Wells
2,170
701
1,251
888
68
15
151
628
26
21
Jefferson
919
1,486
4,719
3,310
1,042
334
568
886
480
125
Lincoln
4,690
2,228
7,776
5,041
1,691
356
1,014
1,269
711
24
McDaniel
847
122
463
794
242
28
233
42
249
33
Roosevelt
1,054
433
873
769
258
248
71
107
85
12
PPS Total
10,877
7,331
24,659
15,974
4,836
1,357
3,221
3,968
2,592
275

### Table(s) detected on page 14 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|HS Cluster 2005-09 2010-14 2015-19 2020-24|2020 2021 2022 2023 2024|2025|
|---|---|---|
|Cleveland<br>572<br>376<br>812<br>552<br>Franklin<br>582<br>398<br>737<br>446<br>Grant<br>38<br>62<br>181<br>87<br>Ida B. Wells<br>606<br>203<br>420<br>273<br>Jefferson<br>460<br>501<br>997<br>574<br>Lincoln<br>394<br>118<br>165<br>127<br>McDaniel<br>455<br>178<br>538<br>275<br>Roosevelt<br>728<br>286<br>488<br>449|110<br>91<br>124<br>153<br>74<br>158<br>78<br>53<br>70<br>87<br>25<br>10<br>19<br>18<br>15<br>68<br>24<br>68<br>55<br>58<br>195<br>85<br>65<br>139<br>90<br>38<br>12<br>27<br>27<br>23<br>110<br>34<br>26<br>48<br>57<br>85<br>54<br>92<br>100<br>118|31<br>32<br>2<br>41<br>50<br>1<br>6<br>38|
|**PPS Total**<br>3_,_835<br>2_,_122<br>4_,_338<br>2_,_783|789<br>388<br>474<br>610<br>522|201|



|HS Cluster 2005-09 2010-14 2015-19 2020-24|2020 2021 2022 2023 2024|2025|
|---|---|---|
|Cleveland<br>630<br>1_,_365<br>6_,_418<br>4_,_132<br>Franklin<br>445<br>481<br>2_,_349<br>644<br>Grant<br>122<br>515<br>810<br>396<br>Ida B. Wells<br>2_,_170<br>701<br>1_,_251<br>888<br>Jefferson<br>919<br>1_,_486<br>4_,_719<br>3_,_310<br>Lincoln<br>4_,_690<br>2_,_228<br>7_,_776<br>5_,_041<br>McDaniel<br>847<br>122<br>463<br>794<br>Roosevelt<br>1_,_054<br>433<br>873<br>769|1_,_278<br>167<br>873<br>881<br>933<br>133<br>135<br>149<br>132<br>95<br>124<br>74<br>162<br>23<br>13<br>68<br>15<br>151<br>628<br>26<br>1_,_042<br>334<br>568<br>886<br>480<br>1_,_691<br>356<br>1_,_014<br>1_,_269<br>711<br>242<br>28<br>233<br>42<br>249<br>258<br>248<br>71<br>107<br>85|24<br>35<br>1<br>21<br>125<br>24<br>33<br>12|
|**PPS Total**<br>10_,_877<br>7_,_331<br>24_,_659<br>15_,_974|4_,_836<br>1_,_357<br>3_,_221<br>3_,_968<br>2_,_592|275|



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## Page 15

2.3 Housing Trends
12
Fig. 2.7: Housing Units Authorized in PPS by HSCL

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## Page 16

2.4 Affordable Housing
13
2.4
Affordable Housing
Housing affordability is defined by the price of housing relative to income. Affordable housing is often
defined as housing that costs no more than 30% of a household’s income, providing a margin for saving
or spending in other areas. PPS’s housing values are far higher than the rest of the state (median home
value in Portland was 634,200 in 2024, well above the state average of 497,500 and the national average
of 360,600). Rental prices are closer to the statewide average (the average renter in PPS paid $1,659 in
2023 compared to $1,597 statewide). However, Portland housing units are on average much smaller–
studio and 1-bedroom units comprise nearly 32% of Portland housing, compared to 14% statewide.
Housing affordability has been a growing problem. The share of renter households paying more
than 30% of their income on rent has continued to increase from 48.5% in 2019 to 51% in 2024. The
production of affordable housing is a priority for state and local governments, and affordable housing
and home ownership are associated with better health and educational outcomes for children. Afford-
able housing is also important for school planning because affordable units are more likely to house
families with children than market-rate apartments. Table 2.6 demonstrates this by comparing the aver-
age number of children per household for a variety of housing types. Single-family housing and large
apartments with 3 or more bedrooms–especially those in affordable housing developments–are much
more likely than other types of multi-family housing to have children.
Table 2.6: Children in households by housing type, 2016 to 2024
Avg Hhd
Share of households
Avg Yield per Unit
Housing Type:
Size
with 1+ children 5–17
of PPS studentsa
Single family
3.0
26%
0.45
Multi-family (all units)
Studio/1-bedroom
1.5
2%
0.04
2-bedroom
2.4
16%
0.26
3+ bedroom
3.9
28%
0.72
Multi-family (affordable)b
Studio/1-bedroom
1.5
3%
0.07
2-bedroom
2.6
25%
0.42
3+ bedroom
4.3
30%
0.91
Notes: Pooled sample of Multnomah, Washington, and Clackamas counties; (a) buildings less than 5 years
old and students age 5–17 in any public school; (b) units occupied by households earning less than 60%
AMI, or receiving public assistance (SNAP, TANF, or Medicaid).
Figure 2.8 shows the locations of affordable housing projects and the distribution of the housing
units by school attendance area. Table 2.7 shows the details of the projects, including the name, unit,
neighborhood, and opening date. The development plan for affordable housing, known to PRC as of
April 2026, includes 1,002 family-size units of two or more bedrooms. 374 units are currently scheduled
to be completed by the end of 2026, with 628 units scheduled to be built in the coming three years. The
expected student yields from each development are allocated across the projections for the elementary,
middle, and high schools associated with the address over a 3-year period starting in the school year
following the expected opening date.

## Page 17

2.4 Affordable Housing
14
Fig. 2.8: Affordable Housing Development Map

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## Page 18

2.4 Affordable Housing
15
Table 2.7: New Affordable Housing Recently Constructed or Under Development within PPS
Elementary Zone
Name
Total
Units
2 Bdrm
Units
3+ Bdrm
Units
Neighborhood
Year/Month
of Completion
Ainsworth
Waterleaf
178
32
18
Downtown
2023/05
Vernon
Isaka Shamsud-Din
29
11
0
Vernon
2023/10
Rigler
Charlotte Lewis
12
2
10
Cully
2023/10
MLK Jr
Herndon
21
11
8
King
2023/11
Chapman
Tiller Terrace
214
11
0
Goose Hollow
2024/03
Laurelhurst
Anna Mann
128
48
14
Kerns
2024/06
Grout
Hazel Ying Lee
206
59
6
Creston-Kenilworth
2024/06
Beach
Dr. Darrell Millner
63
23
25
Overlook
2024/07
Astor
Tistilal Village
57
21
11
Portsmouth
2024/12
Vestal
Aldea at Glisan Landing
96
45
18
Montavilla
2025/01
Boise-Eliot/Humboldt
Albina One
94
33
22
Eliot
2025/07
Rigler
Chaku Kamtuks Haws
84
45
15
Cully
2025/08
Faubion
T. Joyce Phillips
147
70
48
Concordia
2025/09
Buckman
Alder 9
159
36
6
Buckman
2025/10
Boise-Eliot/Humboldt
The Strong Building
75
32
22
Humboldt
2026/03
Bridger CS
Legin Commons
124
47
16
Montavilla
2026/06
Boise-Eliot/Humboldt
Williams & Russell TH
20
10
10
Eliot
2027/03
MLK Jr
Alberta Alive TH
8
0
8
King
2026/10
Marysville
73Foster
64
14
15
Foster-Powell
2026/10
Creston
Peaceful Villa II
166
53
38
Richmond
2027/01
Laurelhurst
HollywoodHUB
222
94
32
Hollywood
2027/03
Rieke
Barbur Apartments
149
84
20
Hillsdale
2027/10
Markham
Jamii Court
96
29
18
West Portland Park
2027/10
Rieke
Gooseberry Trails I
21
0
21
Hillsdale
2027/10
Chapman
Broadway Corridor
230
49
13
Pearl
2028/02
Boise-Eliot/Humboldt
Williams & Russell Apts
85
70
5
Eliot
2028/02
Rieke
Gooseberry Trails II
32
7
25
Hillsdale
2028/10
Astor
True North
53
20
30
University Park
2028/10

## Page 19

ENROLLMENT TRENDS
There has been a significant decline of approximately 12.5% over the 2016–2025 trend period from the
district’s total enrollment high of 48,708 in 2018 to 42,622 in 2025. The most significant decreases
occurred from 2020 onward, primarily attributable to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Table 3.1 outlines the historical enrollment trends from 2016 to 2025 across different grade levels.
The largest declines have been in elementary grades, with a steady decline from 24,629 in 2016 to
18,695 in 2025, representing a drop of approximately 24% over the 10-year dataset. This trend is a
function of a long-term decline in birth rates within the district, mirroring state and national trends.
Enrollment in middle school grades has also decreased, but more gradually, from 11,132 in 2019 to
9,753 in 2025. High school enrollment has remained stable or increased, rising from 12,984 in 2016
to a high of 14,389 in 2022, then remaining relatively stable, declining slightly to 14,174 in the fall of
2025.
Table 3.1: Portland Public Schools, Historic K-12 Enrollment, 2016-2025
Grade
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
K
4,073
3,948
3,899
3,874
3,244
3,195
3,152
2,995
2,837
2,919
1
4,141
4,106
3,916
3,930
3,696
3,282
3,376
3,213
3,070
2,950
2
4,211
4,070
4,040
3,861
3,738
3,476
3,319
3,360
3,207
3,078
3
4,160
4,133
4,011
3,971
3,646
3,486
3,502
3,320
3,365
3,158
4
4,128
4,137
4,051
3,961
3,747
3,388
3,485
3,464
3,296
3,351
5
3,916
4,087
4,036
3,963
3,764
3,497
3,358
3,461
3,410
3,239
6
3,568
3,704
3,844
3,797
3,614
3,375
3,405
3,205
3,270
3,305
7
3,605
3,523
3,619
3,811
3,665
3,420
3,355
3,334
3,200
3,233
8
3,523
3,553
3,500
3,524
3,738
3,550
3,457
3,285
3,336
3,215
9
3,240
3,344
3,500
3,463
3,442
3,652
3,601
3,439
3,394
3,480
10
3,203
3,228
3,354
3,472
3,473
3,474
3,621
3,593
3,434
3,401
11
3,102
3,220
3,234
3,299
3,439
3,379
3,381
3,558
3,546
3,364
12
3,439
3,631
3,704
3,726
3,730
3,831
3,786
3,778
4,010
3,929
K-5
24,629
24,481
23,953
23,560
21,835
20,324
20,192
19,813
19,185
18,695
6-8
10,696
10,780
10,963
11,132
11,017
10,345
10,217
9,824
9,806
9,753
9-12
12,984
13,423
13,792
13,960
14,084
14,336
14,389
14,368
14,384
14,174
Total
48,309
48,684
48,708
48,652
46,936
45,005
44,798
44,005
43,375
42,622
Annual Change
375
24
−56 −1,716 −1,931
−207
−793
−630
−753
Percent Change
0.8%
0.0%
−0.1%
−3.5%
−4.1%
−0.5%
−1.8%
−1.4%
−1.7%
16

## Page 20

3.1 Private Schools, Homeschooling, and District Capture Rate
17
3.1
Private Schools, Homeschooling, and District Capture Rate
The capture rate is the ratio of enrollment in District schools to the school-age population living within
the District boundary. School-age residents who do not attend PPS schools include those who attend
private schools, transfer to other districts, are home-schooled, five- or six-year-old children who have
not yet entered school, and teenagers who have graduated or left PPS schools. Conversely, PPS enroll-
ment includes some students who are not included in the district’s school-age population, specifically
transfer students, intra- and inter-district transfers, and students over age 18.
The Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS) includes questions about school enroll-
ment by level and type of school (public or private). Table 3.2 shows the comparison of the numbers
between the ACS 2019 and the 2024 ACS 1-year estimates. According to ACS 2019 estimates, 21.9%
(+/- 5.8%) of PPS residents enrolled in grades K-12 were enrolled in private schools; this percentage
increased in 2024 to 30.3% (+/- 5.1%). At the kindergarten level, enrollment in both public and private
schools decreased, with the private share remaining stable at just under 32%. At the elementary school
level (grades 1-4), the private share increased from 14.8% to 16.9%. At the middle school level (grades
5-8), the private share also increased from 14.9% to 22.6%. At the high school level (grades 9-12),
the estimates show minimal changes in public or private enrollment, with the private share remaining
stable, hovering between 16.5% and 16.7%.
Table 3.2: School Enrollment by Type of School, PPS District Residents, 2019 and 2024
Grade Cohort
2019
Estimate
2019
MOE
2024
Estimate
2024
MOE
Enrolled in K
9,469
1,822
7,111
1,699
Public Schools
6,450
1,479
4,848
1,176
Private Schools
3,019
1,159
2,263
1,073
Private Share
31.9%
10.6%
31.8%
13.0%
Enrolled in 1-4th grade
20,316
2,102
17,345
2,557
Public Schools
17,313
2,074
14,419
2,356
Private Schools
3,003
1,064
2,926
1,122
Private Share
14.8%
5.0%
16.9%
6.0%
Enrolled in 5-8th grade
19,976
2,463
19,413
2,507
Public Schools
17,008
2,341
15,018
2,425
Private Schools
2,968
964
4,395
1,606
Private Share
14.9%
4.5%
22.6%
7.7%
Enrolled in 9-12th grade
17,816
1,925
17,948
2,022
Public Schools
14,884
1,962
14,955
1,992
Private Schools
2,932
680
2,993
909
Private Share
16.5%
3.4%
16.7%
4.7%
Total
27,809
2,940
25,101
2,955
Public Schools
21,727
2,471
17,489
2,389
Private Schools
6,082
1,726
7,612
1,556
Private Share
21.9%
5.8%
30.3%
5.1%

## Page 21

3.2 Enrollment Trends by Place of Residence
18
In Oregon, families may choose to homeschool their child at any time and for any duration. Accord-
ing to the laws 1, when families choose to homeschool their child, they are required to file a notification
with the local Education Service District (ESD) upon withdrawing from a public or private school,
or before the child’s enrollment in the first grade. Between the 2019-20 and 2020-21 school years,
the number of new homeschool registrations in all Multnomah County districts increased from 446 to
1659, almost quadrupling in one year, followed by an additional 835 registrations in the 2021-22 school
year. In November 2023, the Multnomah ESD reported PPS had 1585 registered homeschool students.
Registrations have declined since that time, but remained elevated in historical terms. As of November
2025, there were approximately 787 PPS residents registered to homeschool, which is approximately
1.5% of the estimated age-eligible population in the district. 2
3.2
Enrollment Trends by Place of Residence
The overall population of students residing in an attendance area and enrolled in any PPS school is
typically more stable than the enrollment at the neighborhood school serving the attendance area. En-
rollment at individual schools may change due to program or boundary changes, school openings or
closures, school choice, the number of transfer slots, or other factors unrelated to underlying demo-
graphic trends. When student points are matched by address in a geographic information system, the
number of PPS students (including charter schools) by grade level can be tabulated for any geographic
area. Creating a time series of resident PPS students by grade level and current attendance area facil-
itates historical enrollment analysis, even if school boundaries have changed, allowing us to identify
shifts in the share of area students who enroll in their neighborhood school, attend other PPS schools,
or participate in PPS programs.
Table 3.3 shows enrollment trends by grade levels across HSCLs for years 2020 through 2025, along
with the numeric and percentage changes over the five years. For K-5 enrollment, the district saw a sig-
nificant overall decline of 14.4% across all clusters except Other Programming. The most significant
decreases are seen in the clusters of Cleveland (-20.4%), Franklin (-19.2%), and Jefferson/McDaniel
and Grant (each -16.7%). Other Programming saw an increase of 9%, while the Lincoln cluster saw
the smallest decline at -8%. The trend of 6-8 enrollment over five years is similar to K-5, with an
overall district decrease of 11.5%, except for Jefferson/McDaniel and Jefferson/Roosevelt, which show
increases of 2.3% and 0.4%, respectively. The most dramatic drop is observed in the Roosevelt cluster
(-22.1%). Contrary to the trends in lower grades, 9-12 high school enrollment appears to be increasing
across most clusters, with an overall district increase of 0.6%. Notable increases are seen in Jeffer-
son/McDaniel (15.8%) and Grant (13.6%), while larger decreases were seen in Other Programming
(-10.7%) and Franklin (-8%).
1ORS 339.010 and OAR 581-021-0026(4)
2See MESD Homeschool Reports for more information at https://www.multnomahesd.org/services/homeschool.

## Page 22

3.2 Enrollment Trends by Place of Residence
19
Table 3.3: PPS Historic Enrollment by Grade Level and High School Cluster of Residence
Numeric
Percent
HS Cluster
Grades
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Change
Change
Cleveland
K-5
3,277
3,012
2,949
2,829
2,701
2,608
−669
-20.42%
Cleveland
6 - 8
1,639
1,580
1,523
1,507
1,528
1,516
−123
-7.50%
Cleveland
9 - 12
1,963
1,960
1,897
1,871
1,833
1,887
−76
-3.87%
Cleveland
Total
6879
6552
6369
6207
6062
6011
-868
-12.62%
Franklin
K-5
3,691
3,388
3,371
3,223
3,060
2,983
−708
-19.18%
Franklin
6 - 8
1,864
1,750
1,651
1,657
1,631
1,592
−272
-14.59%
Franklin
9 - 12
2,435
2,425
2,435
2,310
2,295
2,240
−195
-8.01%
Franklin
Total
7990
7563
7457
7190
6986
6815
-1175
-14.71%
Grant
K-5
1,512
1,407
1,384
1,327
1,269
1,260
−252
-16.67%
Grant
6 - 8
849
817
816
788
798
754
−95
-11.19%
Grant
9 - 12
1,044
1,168
1,203
1,185
1,198
1,186
142
13.60%
Grant
Total
3405
3392
3403
3300
3265
3200
-205
-6.02%
Ida B Wells
K-5
2,775
2,622
2,578
2,568
2,430
2,385
−390
-14.05%
Ida B Wells
6 - 8
1,468
1,405
1,469
1,342
1,319
1,295
−173
-11.78%
Ida B Wells
9 - 12
1,709
1,788
1,726
1,828
1,836
1,808
99
5.79%
Ida B Wells
Total
5952
5815
5773
5738
5585
5488
-464
-7.80%
Jefferson / Grant
K-5
1,347
1,258
1,229
1,187
1,175
1,136
−211
-15.66%
Jefferson / Grant
6 - 8
620
582
536
501
491
538
−82
-13.23%
Jefferson / Grant
9 - 12
952
980
1,009
1,001
1,025
995
43
4.52%
Jefferson / Grant
Total
2919
2820
2774
2689
2691
2669
-250
-8.56%
Jefferson / McDaniel
K-5
778
698
692
708
672
648
−130
-16.71%
Jefferson / McDaniel
6 - 8
346
332
327
314
341
354
8
2.31%
Jefferson / McDaniel
9 - 12
336
362
384
373
379
389
53
15.77%
Jefferson / McDaniel
Total
1460
1392
1403
1395
1392
1391
-69
-4.73%
Jefferson / Roosevelt
K-5
1,783
1,682
1,673
1,625
1,610
1,540
−243
-13.63%
Jefferson / Roosevelt
6 - 8
783
771
746
730
736
786
3
0.38%
Jefferson / Roosevelt
9 - 12
964
943
973
972
1,008
979
15
1.56%
Jefferson / Roosevelt
Total
3530
3396
3392
3327
3354
3305
-225
-6.37%
Lincoln
K-5
1,636
1,592
1,609
1,620
1,576
1,505
−131
-8.01%
Lincoln
6 - 8
916
841
884
842
781
796
−120
-13.10%
Lincoln
9 - 12
1,457
1,429
1,474
1,482
1,501
1,544
87
5.97%
Lincoln
Total
4009
3862
3967
3944
3858
3845
-164
-4.09%
McDaniel
K-5
2,629
2,425
2,445
2,454
2,432
2,369
−260
-9.89%
McDaniel
6 - 8
1,336
1,201
1,209
1,124
1,136
1,142
−194
-14.52%
McDaniel
9 - 12
1,603
1,585
1,611
1,696
1,693
1,624
21
1.31%
McDaniel
Total
5568
5211
5265
5274
5261
5135
-433
-7.78%
Roosevelt
K-5
1,732
1,633
1,608
1,563
1,553
1,525
−207
-11.95%
Roosevelt
6 - 8
949
843
837
808
812
739
−210
-22.13%
Roosevelt
9 - 12
1,237
1,230
1,289
1,259
1,231
1,179
−58
-4.69%
Roosevelt
Total
3918
3706
3734
3630
3596
3443
-475
-12.12%
Other Programming
K-5
675
607
654
709
707
736
61
9.04%
Other Programming
6 - 8
247
223
219
211
233
241
−6
-2.43%
Other Programming
9 - 12
384
466
388
391
385
343
−41
-10.68%
Other Programming
Total
1306
1296
1261
1311
1325
1320
14
1.07%
PPS Total
K-5
21,835
20,324
20,192
19,813
19,185
18,695
−3,140
-14.38%
PPS Total
6 - 8
11,017
10,345
10,217
9,824
9,806
9,753
−1,264
-11.47%
PPS Total
9 - 12
14,084
14,336
14,389
14,368
14,384
14,174
90
0.64%
PPS Total
Total
46936
45005
44798
44005
43375
42622
-4314
-9.19%

## Page 23

ENROLLMENT FORECASTS
The enrollment forecasts comprise several components, beginning with a demographic forecast of the
district’s total resident population and the expected share of that population that enrolls in a PPS school
at the kindergarten entry point. The growth or attrition of currently enrolled cohorts is subsequently
determined by modeling and projecting the ratio of students who advance to the next grade in school.
The overall methodology utilizes a bottom-up, school-level forecast controlled to a top-down district
total. This ensures consistency across individual school results and the broader district, while leveraging
the more stable, less volatile historical trends of the district-wide model.
4.1
Forecast Process
The first step in the enrollment forecast is to produce historical annual estimates and a forecast of the
PPS area’s resident population. The historical estimates provide denominators for calculating fertility,
mortality, and migration rates in the district. These rates are, in turn, projected by age and sex to
estimate the future eligible population for each grade level of enrollment at PPS.
The second step is to model and project district-wide kindergarten capture rates and subsequent
grade progression ratios (GPR). The ratio of resident students enrolled in PPS to the district-resident
eligible population (capture rate) is projected and applied to the demographic forecast to estimate the
number of incoming kindergarten students. For students in all subsequent grades, a continuation rate or
GPR is used to project enrollment as a function of the prior year’s enrollment in the preceding grade (for
example, the size of an incoming kindergarten class may be 75% of the eligible resident 5-year-olds,
while the upcoming 1st-grade class may be 98% of the prior year’s kindergarten class).
Each individual school has an independent forecast as well. For most schools, the model calcu-
lates new kindergarten intake as a share of the total district-wide kindergarten enrollment. However,
for specific schools where district-share mapping is less accurate, kindergarten enrollment is projected
independently using localized historical trends. Each school’s GPRs are applied to project all subse-
quent grades. In cases where schools have experienced attendance zone changes or program moves,
data splits are created such that the zones or programs can be characterized as they were in the past,
or as they will be in the future. Program moves, attendance boundary changes, facility openings and
closures, and other systemic adjustments - including implementation of Southeast Enrollment and Pro-
gram Balancing - are incorporated into the enrollment forecast based on data provided by PPS on their
timing, geographic scope, and affected populations.
20

## Page 24

4.2 Forecast Data and Methodology
21
In a third step, additional adjustments are made for the number of students expected to impact PPS
enrollment from planned affordable housing developments featuring units with two or more bedrooms.
While the future pace of market-generated housing is assumed to be captured within recent baseline
trends for each neighborhood and school, affordable developments are not entirely market-driven. Be-
cause larger affordable units have higher-than-average numbers of children per unit, these developments
are treated as an exogenous source of students for the specific schools serving those neighborhoods.
These adjustments serve to distribute the projected student population to the specific schools serving
those developments, ensuring localized housing impacts are captured within the individual school fore-
casts.
The final step is an adjustment and reconciliation phase that addresses cases where capture rates
or GPRs should be adjusted to account for outliers or unusual circumstances, and to ensure internal
consistency. Discrepancies between the individual school and district-wide forecasts by grade are re-
solved by adjusting individual school metrics. Through this process, individual school forecasts are
mathematically consistent with the higher-level district control totals by adjusting school-level capture
rates at kindergarten and GPRs for the remaining grades.
4.2
Forecast Data and Methodology
The historical resident population of PPS is estimated from the decennial census by summing the counts
for individual census blocks that comprise the district, broken down by age and sex. Between censuses,
tract-level interpolations are used, weighted based on the average share of the population in each tract
that is within the district, determined by which blocks in each tract are inside or outside the district.
Birth and death rates within the district are estimated from vital statistics records of actual births and
deaths that occurred within the district boundaries, divided by the historical population estimates. They
are projected by a variant of the Lee-Carter method, based on an average age pattern for birth or death
rates, and one or more sets of deviations that, when combined, best explain the historical deviations
from the average pattern, along with accompanying weights that explain how each set of deviations
has increased or decreased in importance over time. Migration is forecasted by an auto-regressive time
series model that assumes a gradual return to the long-run pre-COVID trend (Figure 4.1).
The resident population forecast is generated by starting with the actual age structure from the
2020 Census and projecting it forward annually by adding or subtracting expected births, deaths, and
migrants by age and sex to reflect expected changes each year.
Student enrollment data as of October 1 of each school year, by grade, school attended, and school
zone of residence, was provided by PPS. Data from 2017 through 2025 was used in the current forecasts.
The kindergarten capture rate is estimated from enrollment data using resident population data for the
corresponding kindergarten-eligible age cohort, while grade-progression ratios are calculated directly
from historical enrollment data. Both the capture rate and GPRs at many schools were exceptionally low
during the COVID-19 pandemic; however, they have since mostly recovered to pre-pandemic levels.
The kindergarten capture rate is projected based on the assumption of gradual convergence toward
the pre-COVID 10-year average, while the district-wide GPRs use the prior 3-year averages, and the
individual schools generally rely on longer-run averages with the COVID years removed (Figures 4.2

## Page 25

4.2 Forecast Data and Methodology
22
Fig. 4.1: Net Migration to/from PPS, 2010–2040
and 4.3).
Student generation rates for affordable housing are based on an analysis of PPS affordable housing.
Predicted occupancy is based on past patterns of student generation rates from PPS students who could
be linked to a real affordable housing development built during 2017-2024, conditional on living in a
building up to 5 years old. The yield rate for such housing units ranges from 1 student per 2 units in
public schools to 1 student per 12 units, depending on the number of bedrooms and grade level (Table
4.1).
Table 4.1: Affordable Housing Student Generation Rates
per regulated affordable 2+ bedroom unit
Student Generation Rate
Years since Construction/Occupancy:
by School Level:
0
1
2
3
4
5+
Elementary (Gr K-5)
0.242
0.289
0.303
0.308
0.268
0.265
Middle (Gr 6-8)
0.096
0.118
0.120
0.126
0.110
0.093
High (Gr 9-12)
0.082
0.108
0.136
0.149
0.137
0.157
TOTAL
0.140
0.516
0.559
0.584
0.515
0.516

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## Page 26

4.2 Forecast Data and Methodology
23
Fig. 4.2: Capture Rate at KG/Grade 1: PPS, 2000–2030
Fig. 4.3: Grade Progression Ratios: PPS, 2000–2025

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## Page 27

4.3 Forecast Results
24
4.3
Forecast Results
4.3.1
District-wide Enrollment Forecasts
The K-12 enrollment of 41,921 students in fall 2026 is 701 students (1.64%) lower than the fall 2025
total, and just over 6,700 students below the fall 2019 pre-pandemic level. Enrollment is projected to
continue to decline, at a decelerating rate, until reaching a low point of 35,773 in 2040-41 (Figure 4.4).
Kindergarten and first-grade capture rates are predictive of an age cohort’s future attachment to PPS.
Currently, kindergarten and first-grade capture rates are recovering from their pandemic lows, reaching
approximately 74% for kindergarten and 80% for first-grade populations. Despite their recovery, they
still remain below their historical highs of 86% for kindergarten and 90% for first grade in the fall of
2013. The size of the entering kindergarten cohorts has been declining since its peak in 2012, while the
underlying population aged 5, which forms the pool eligible for kindergarten enrollment, was in steady
decline from 2019 to 2024, with a slight increase in 2025. This pressure on enrollment stems from birth
rates that have declined in most years since 2010 and are expected to remain low over the enrollment
forecast horizon. In the projections, the kindergarten capture rate is expected to rise to 79% by 2028.
The enrollment projections reflect an optimistic near- and medium-term outlook on net migration
to Portland, which was negative in 2020 and 2021. Migration tends to bring young residents into the
district; however, the average household moving out of the district is more likely to include children.
If these trends continue, future growth in kindergarten/first enrollment must come from a larger share
of the age-eligible population entering PPS, or from transfer students, because migration is unlikely to
contribute any net school-age children. Furthermore, the enrollment projections reflect a higher GPR
for the first grade, consistent with the district’s historical trend of capturing additional students as the
cohort transitions from kindergarten.
4.3.2
Enrollment Forecasts by Grade
PPS kindergarten classrooms are expected to enroll 2,969 students in the 2026–27 school year, an in-
crease of 50 students from fall 2025 (1.7%). The growth of the kindergarten cohort is projected to con-
tinue through the 2028–29 school year, followed by a two-year period of decline driven by lower birth
rates. If the capture rate does not increase, kindergarten enrollment is expected to stabilize at around
2,700, an approximately 30% decrease from the five-year pre-COVID average, due to demographic fac-
tors such as a smaller number of age-eligible children. Overall, elementary school enrollment (grades
K–5) is expected to decline from 18,695 to 18,427 students. The decline is projected to continue through
the 2037–38 school year, when enrollment will begin to recover from its low of 16,435.
Middle school (grades 6–8) also declines in the 2026–27 school year, from 9,753 to 9,590 (-1.7%).
As smaller elementary cohorts progress through the middle school grades, enrollment will continue to
decline to a low of just 7,624 students in 2040, interrupted only by a brief, two-year period of growth
in the 2033–34 and 2034–35 school years.
High schools were resilient during the pandemic and saw increases, even as elementary and middle

## Page 28

4.3 Forecast Results
25
Fig. 4.4: District-wide Enrollment Forecasts
schools saw large declines. However, high school enrollment is projected to decline in fall 2026, from
14,174 to 13,904 students (-1.9%). The decline is expected to continue across the forecast horizon as
the smaller elementary and middle school cohorts age up, exerting downward pressure on high school
enrollment. While individual years may see minor fluctuations, either higher or lower than projected,
the overall trend is towards declining high school enrollment over the forecast window, to a low of
11,462 students in fall 2040.

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## Page 29

4.3 Forecast Results
26
Table 4.2: District Enrollment Forecasts by Individual Grade
Grade
2025-26
2026-27
2027-28
2028-29
2029-30
2030-31
2031-32
2032-33
2033-34
2034-35
2035-36
K
2,919
2,969
3,044
3,150
2,948
2,772
2,778
2,697
2,681
2,677
2,683
1
2,950
3,004
3,052
3,130
3,238
3,032
2,852
2,858
2,775
2,759
2,755
2
3,078
2,946
3,002
3,048
3,127
3,234
3,029
2,850
2,856
2,773
2,757
3
3,158
3,064
2,933
2,990
3,035
3,114
3,220
3,016
2,838
2,844
2,762
4
3,351
3,136
3,042
2,912
2,971
3,014
3,093
3,198
2,996
2,819
2,825
5
3,239
3,308
3,096
3,002
2,875
2,935
2,976
3,054
3,157
2,958
2,784
6
3,305
3,108
3,168
2,955
2,865
2,737
2,786
2,833
2,907
3,005
2,814
7
3,233
3,266
3,074
3,135
2,926
2,835
2,709
2,760
2,804
2,877
2,975
8
3,215
3,216
3,249
3,058
3,118
2,910
2,820
2,695
2,745
2,788
2,861
9
3,480
3,357
3,337
3,382
3,159
3,201
2,973
2,883
2,753
2,802
2,849
10
3,401
3,481
3,360
3,345
3,383
3,167
3,212
2,988
2,891
2,764
2,819
11
3,364
3,340
3,421
3,304
3,292
3,325
3,117
3,163
2,945
2,846
2,723
12
3,929
3,726
3,699
3,791
3,661
3,650
3,684
3,457
3,508
3,269
3,156
Total
42,622
41,921
41,477
41,202
40,598
39,926
39,249
38,452
37,856
37,181
36,763
Annual Change
-701
-444
-275
-604
-672
-677
-797
-596
-675
-418
Percent Change
-1.6%
-1.1%
-0.7%
-1.5%
-1.7%
-1.7%
-2.0%
-1.6%
-1.8%
-1.1%
K-5
18,695
18,427
18,169
18,232
18,194
18,101
17,948
17,673
17,303
16,830
16,566
6-8
9,753
9,590
9,491
9,148
8,909
8,482
8,315
8,288
8,456
8,670
8,650
9-12
14,174
13,904
13,817
13,822
13,495
13,343
12,986
12,491
12,097
11,681
11,547

### Table(s) detected on page 29 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|Grade 2025-26|2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32 2032-33 2033-34 2034-35 2035-36|
|---|---|
|**K**<br>2,919<br>**1**<br>2,950<br>**2**<br>3,078<br>**3**<br>3,158<br>**4**<br>3,351<br>**5**<br>3,239<br>**6**<br>3,305<br>**7**<br>3,233<br>**8**<br>3,215<br>**9**<br>3,480<br>**10**<br>3,401<br>**11**<br>3,364<br>**12**<br>3,929|2,969<br>3,044<br>3,150<br>2,948<br>2,772<br>2,778<br>2,697<br>2,681<br>2,677<br>2,683<br>3,004<br>3,052<br>3,130<br>3,238<br>3,032<br>2,852<br>2,858<br>2,775<br>2,759<br>2,755<br>2,946<br>3,002<br>3,048<br>3,127<br>3,234<br>3,029<br>2,850<br>2,856<br>2,773<br>2,757<br>3,064<br>2,933<br>2,990<br>3,035<br>3,114<br>3,220<br>3,016<br>2,838<br>2,844<br>2,762<br>3,136<br>3,042<br>2,912<br>2,971<br>3,014<br>3,093<br>3,198<br>2,996<br>2,819<br>2,825<br>3,308<br>3,096<br>3,002<br>2,875<br>2,935<br>2,976<br>3,054<br>3,157<br>2,958<br>2,784<br>3,108<br>3,168<br>2,955<br>2,865<br>2,737<br>2,786<br>2,833<br>2,907<br>3,005<br>2,814<br>3,266<br>3,074<br>3,135<br>2,926<br>2,835<br>2,709<br>2,760<br>2,804<br>2,877<br>2,975<br>3,216<br>3,249<br>3,058<br>3,118<br>2,910<br>2,820<br>2,695<br>2,745<br>2,788<br>2,861<br>3,357<br>3,337<br>3,382<br>3,159<br>3,201<br>2,973<br>2,883<br>2,753<br>2,802<br>2,849<br>3,481<br>3,360<br>3,345<br>3,383<br>3,167<br>3,212<br>2,988<br>2,891<br>2,764<br>2,819<br>3,340<br>3,421<br>3,304<br>3,292<br>3,325<br>3,117<br>3,163<br>2,945<br>2,846<br>2,723<br>3,726<br>3,699<br>3,791<br>3,661<br>3,650<br>3,684<br>3,457<br>3,508<br>3,269<br>3,156|
|**Total**<br>**42,622**<br>Annual Change<br>Percent Change|**41,921**<br>**41,477**<br>**41,202**<br>**40,598**<br>**39,926**<br>**39,249**<br>**38,452**<br>**37,856**<br>**37,181**<br>**36,763**<br>-701<br>-444<br>-275<br>-604<br>-672<br>-677<br>-797<br>-596<br>-675<br>-418<br>-1.6%<br>-1.1%<br>-0.7%<br>-1.5%<br>-1.7%<br>-1.7%<br>-2.0%<br>-1.6%<br>-1.8%<br>-1.1%|
|**K-5**<br>18,695<br>**6-8**<br>9,753<br>**9-12**<br>14,174|18,427<br>18,169<br>18,232<br>18,194<br>18,101<br>17,948<br>17,673<br>17,303<br>16,830<br>16,566<br>9,590<br>9,491<br>9,148<br>8,909<br>8,482<br>8,315<br>8,288<br>8,456<br>8,670<br>8,650<br>13,904<br>13,817<br>13,822<br>13,495<br>13,343<br>12,986<br>12,491<br>12,097<br>11,681<br>11,547|



## Page 30

4.4 Forecast Accuracy and Uncertainty
27
4.4
Forecast Accuracy and Uncertainty
Enrollment forecasts are utilized as a school planning tool and as a basis for community discussions
about future school facility needs. Forecasts are by their nature uncertain and rely on assumptions
that are likely to be violated to some extent. The most important sources of uncertainty in the current
district-level forecast are future trends in migration to/from the PPS district and the trajectory of capture
rates.
The last projection series was completed in the spring of 2025 using data through the fall of 2024.
These forecasts can be examined for their one-year enrollment forecast error, which was 184 students
or 0.4% lower than the final enrollment in fall 2025. The errors were concentrated in Kindergarten,
which was forecast for 112 students (3.8%) under final enrollment; ninth grade, which was forecast for
79 students (2.3%) under final enrollment; and first grade, which was forecast for 72 students (2.4%)
under final enrollment. Other grades were within 2% error, and the overall average error across all
grades (MAPE) was 1.37% (Table 4.3).
The methodology used in the current forecast is substantially similar to that used in previous PPS
enrollment forecasts produced by the Portland State University Population Research Center. There-
fore, another approach to assess potential forecast error is to compare actual enrollments with previous
forecasts from 2010 that used similar data and methodologies (Table 4.4).
The overall 1-year median forecast error since 2010 is 0.5%. In the early 2010s, forecasts failed
to anticipate the mid-2010s decline in enrollment. Before the pandemic, the middle-series forecasts
were consistently within 1% of the total of PPS K-12 in the first year, and the errors rarely exceeded
3% in the longer run. The COVID-19 pandemic negatively affected all accuracy metrics starting in
the 2020-21 school year. The enrollment declines resulted in a one-year middle-series forecast error of
4%, which was higher than the actual 2020-21 enrollment. When the one-year forecasts for 2021-22
were prepared in January 2021, vaccines were becoming available, and there was general optimism that
students would return to in-person learning and that K-12 enrollment in 2021-22 would return to levels
close to 2019-20. The projections assumed a return to the status quo in the next year. However, the
2021-22 school year began with remote learning once again, and further losses resulted in a one-year
enrollment forecast error of 8.4 percent above actual enrollment. Since schools reopened to full in-
person learning in the fall of 2022, the one-year enrollment forecast has reverted back to a median of
0.5%.

## Page 31

4.4 Forecast Accuracy and Uncertainty
28
Table 4.3: Forecast Errors by Grade: PPS, 2025
Fall 2025 One Year Enrollment Forecast:
Actual
Low
Middle
High
Grade
Fall 2025
Fcst.
Error
Fcst.
Error
Fcst.
Error
K
2,919
2,707
7.3%
2,807
3.8%
2,794
4.3%
1
2,950
2,768
6.2%
2,878
2.4%
2,890
2.0%
2
3,078
3,059
0.6%
3,067
0.4%
3,105
-0.9%
3
3,158
3,209
-1.6%
3,210
-1.6%
3,235
-2.4%
4
3,351
3,341
0.3%
3,358
-0.2%
3,363
-0.4%
5
3,239
3,244
-0.2%
3,275
-1.1%
3,284
-1.4%
6
3,305
3,230
2.3%
3,249
1.7%
3,304
0.0%
7
3,233
3,224
0.3%
3,247
-0.4%
3,259
-0.8%
8
3,215
3,141
2.3%
3,198
0.5%
3,242
-0.8%
9
3,480
3,338
4.1%
3,401
2.3%
3,442
1.1%
10
3,401
3,376
0.7%
3,388
0.4%
3,394
0.2%
11
3,364
3,349
0.4%
3,376
-0.4%
3,386
-0.7%
12
3,929
3,972
-1.1%
3,984
-1.4%
3,996
-1.7%
Total
42,622
41,958
1.6%
42,438
0.4%
42,694
-0.2%
Mean Absolute Pct. Error
2.15%
1.37%
1.18%

## Page 32

4.4 Forecast Accuracy and Uncertainty
29
Table 4.4: Forecast Errors by Years since Forecast: PPS, 2012-2024
School
Actual Fall
Forecast errors (from forecasts as of):
Year
Enrollment
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
2022-23
2023-24
2024-25
2012-13
46,581
2013-14
47,111
-0.3%
2014-15
47,647
-0.2%
-0.1%
2015-16
48,383
-0.2%
-0.4%
-0.5%
2016-17
48,198
1.3%
1.4%
1.2%
1.3%
2017-18
48,443
1.7%
2.0%
1.8%
2.0%
0.9%
2018-19
48,482
2.5%
3.1%
2.9%
3.1%
1.8%
1.3%
2019-20
48,435
3.6%
4.2%
4.0%
4.2%
2.9%
2.4%
1.1%
2020-21
46,907
7.9%
8.5%
8.3%
8.6%
7.0%
6.6%
5.0%
4.0%
2021-22
44,861
13.7%
14.1%
14.1%
14.4%
12.6%
11.9%
10.3%
8.8%
8.4%
2022-23
44,609
15.2%
15.4%
15.5%
15.7%
13.9%
12.7%
10.6%
8.9%
8.5%
0.5%
2023-24
44,005
17.9%
18.0%
18.0%
18.4%
16.5%
14.9%
11.6%
9.4%
9.2%
0.9%
0.6%
2024-25
43,375
20.4%
20.5%
20.6%
21.0%
18.8%
17.2%
12.7%
10.0%
9.6%
1.0%
1.0%
0.4%
2025-26
42,622
23.0%
23.1%
23.2%
23.7%
21.4%
19.3%
13.8%
10.5%
9.9%
0.6%
0.8%
0.4%
-0.4%

## Page 33

APPENDICES
Table 5.1: Population Projection: Portland Public Schools, 2030-2040
Age Group
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
Under Age 5
24,382
25,838
21,785
17,490
18,426
Age 5 to 9
23,699
22,708
23,620
17,664
16,452
Age 10 to 14
23,096
19,871
23,759
17,043
14,591
Age 15 to 17
14,355
12,307
13,344
12,015
8,912
Age 18 to 19
10,597
9,495
9,872
8,402
6,131
Age 20 to 24
33,478
33,827
32,243
33,941
26,828
Age 25 to 29
41,985
48,534
50,989
50,559
48,479
Age 30 to 34
39,531
46,781
55,468
54,417
56,674
Age 35 to 39
35,432
41,270
50,516
50,712
54,505
Age 40 to 44
34,981
35,381
42,452
45,718
49,271
Age 45 to 49
35,915
30,492
36,745
40,882
44,232
Age 50 to 54
30,217
30,561
32,731
35,868
39,546
Age 55 to 59
19,090
31,402
27,647
30,744
35,144
Age 60 to 64
13,319
25,698
26,646
26,025
30,543
Age 65 to 69
10,521
15,445
26,602
22,985
26,654
Age 70 to 74
10,535
9,794
20,144
20,389
22,186
Age 75 to 79
10,181
7,224
11,671
17,145
17,690
Age 80 to 84
7,720
6,287
6,805
12,798
13,444
Age 85 and over
7,076
7,354
6,256
12,376
16,343
Total Population
426,110
460,269
519,295
527,174
546,050
Annualized Growth
-
0.8%
1.2%
0.2%
0.4%
Percent 5-17
14.4%
11.9%
11.7%
8.9%
7.3%
Percent under 18
20.1%
17.5%
15.9%
12.2%
10.7%
Source: Population Research Center, PSU.
November 20, 2025
30

### Table(s) detected on page 33 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|Age Group|2000 2010 2020 2030 2040|
|---|---|
|Under Age 5<br>Age 5 to 9<br>Age 10 to 14<br>Age 15 to 17<br>Age 18 to 19<br>Age 20 to 24<br>Age 25 to 29<br>Age 30 to 34<br>Age 35 to 39<br>Age 40 to 44<br>Age 45 to 49<br>Age 50 to 54<br>Age 55 to 59<br>Age 60 to 64<br>Age 65 to 69<br>Age 70 to 74<br>Age 75 to 79<br>Age 80 to 84<br>Age 85 and over|24,382<br>25,838<br>21,785<br>17,490<br>18,426<br>23,699<br>22,708<br>23,620<br>17,664<br>16,452<br>23,096<br>19,871<br>23,759<br>17,043<br>14,591<br>14,355<br>12,307<br>13,344<br>12,015<br>8,912<br>10,597<br>9,495<br>9,872<br>8,402<br>6,131<br>33,478<br>33,827<br>32,243<br>33,941<br>26,828<br>41,985<br>48,534<br>50,989<br>50,559<br>48,479<br>39,531<br>46,781<br>55,468<br>54,417<br>56,674<br>35,432<br>41,270<br>50,516<br>50,712<br>54,505<br>34,981<br>35,381<br>42,452<br>45,718<br>49,271<br>35,915<br>30,492<br>36,745<br>40,882<br>44,232<br>30,217<br>30,561<br>32,731<br>35,868<br>39,546<br>19,090<br>31,402<br>27,647<br>30,744<br>35,144<br>13,319<br>25,698<br>26,646<br>26,025<br>30,543<br>10,521<br>15,445<br>26,602<br>22,985<br>26,654<br>10,535<br>9,794<br>20,144<br>20,389<br>22,186<br>10,181<br>7,224<br>11,671<br>17,145<br>17,690<br>7,720<br>6,287<br>6,805<br>12,798<br>13,444<br>7,076<br>7,354<br>6,256<br>12,376<br>16,343|
|Total Population|426,110<br>460,269<br>519,295<br>527,174<br>546,050|
|_Annualized Growth_<br>_Percent 5-17_<br>_Percent under 18_|_-_<br>_0.8%_<br>_1.2%_<br>_0.2%_<br>_0.4%_<br>_14.4%_<br>_11.9%_<br>_11.7%_<br>_8.9%_<br>_7.3%_<br>_20.1%_<br>_17.5%_<br>_15.9%_<br>_12.2%_<br>_10.7%_|



[Note: this page contains a map, chart or other graphic. Only its text labels are captured above; the map's lines, shading, boundaries and imagery are not captured in text.]

## Page 34

31
Table 5.2: Enrollment Projection (Medium Scenario): Portland Public Schools, 2026-2040
—- Historic Enrollment —-
—- Forecast Enrollment —-
Grade
2021-22
2022-23
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
2026-27
2027-28
2028-29
2029-30
2030-31
2031-32
2032-33
2033-34
2034-35
2035-36
2036-37
2037-38
2038-39
2039-40
2040-41
K
3,195
3,152
2,995
2,837
2,919
2,969
3,044
3,150
2,948
2,772
2,778
2,697
2,681
2,677
2,683
2,698
2,720
2,744
2,768
2,791
1
3,282
3,376
3,213
3,070
2,950
3,004
3,052
3,130
3,238
3,032
2,852
2,858
2,775
2,759
2,755
2,761
2,776
2,799
2,823
2,848
2
3,476
3,319
3,360
3,207
3,078
2,946
3,002
3,048
3,127
3,234
3,029
2,850
2,856
2,773
2,757
2,753
2,759
2,774
2,797
2,821
3
3,486
3,502
3,320
3,365
3,158
3,064
2,933
2,990
3,035
3,114
3,220
3,016
2,838
2,844
2,762
2,746
2,742
2,748
2,763
2,786
4
3,388
3,485
3,464
3,296
3,351
3,136
3,042
2,912
2,971
3,014
3,093
3,198
2,996
2,819
2,825
2,744
2,728
2,724
2,730
2,745
5
3,497
3,358
3,461
3,410
3,239
3,308
3,096
3,002
2,875
2,935
2,976
3,054
3,157
2,958
2,784
2,790
2,710
2,694
2,690
2,696
6
3,375
3,405
3,205
3,270
3,305
3,108
3,168
2,955
2,865
2,737
2,786
2,833
2,907
3,005
2,814
2,646
2,652
2,574
2,559
2,555
7
3,420
3,355
3,334
3,200
3,233
3,266
3,074
3,135
2,926
2,835
2,709
2,760
2,804
2,877
2,975
2,786
2,620
2,626
2,549
2,534
8
3,550
3,457
3,285
3,336
3,215
3,216
3,249
3,058
3,118
2,910
2,820
2,695
2,745
2,788
2,861
2,959
2,771
2,605
2,611
2,535
9
3,652
3,601
3,439
3,394
3,480
3,357
3,337
3,382
3,159
3,201
2,973
2,883
2,753
2,802
2,849
2,924
3,023
2,831
2,660
2,666
10
3,474
3,621
3,593
3,434
3,401
3,481
3,360
3,345
3,383
3,167
3,212
2,988
2,891
2,764
2,819
2,862
2,936
3,036
2,844
2,674
11
3,379
3,381
3,558
3,546
3,364
3,340
3,421
3,304
3,292
3,325
3,117
3,163
2,945
2,846
2,723
2,781
2,821
2,893
2,991
2,803
12
3,831
3,786
3,778
4,010
3,929
3,726
3,699
3,791
3,661
3,650
3,684
3,457
3,508
3,269
3,156
3,021
3,088
3,130
3,210
3,319
TOTAL
45,005
44,798
44,005
43,375
42,622
41,921
41,477
41,202
40,598
39,926
39,249
38,452
37,856
37,181
36,763
36,471
36,346
36,178
35,995
35,773
K-2
9,953
9,847
9,568
9,114
8,947
8,919
9,098
9,328
9,313
9,038
8,659
8,405
8,312
8,209
8,195
8,212
8,255
8,317
8,388
8,460
3-5
10,371
10,345
10,245
10,071
9,748
9,508
9,071
8,904
8,881
9,063
9,289
9,268
8,991
8,621
8,371
8,280
8,180
8,166
8,183
8,227
6-8
10,345
10,217
9,824
9,806
9,753
9,590
9,491
9,148
8,909
8,482
8,315
8,288
8,456
8,670
8,650
8,391
8,043
7,805
7,719
7,624
9-12
14,336
14,389
14,368
14,384
14,174
13,904
13,817
13,822
13,495
13,343
12,986
12,491
12,097
11,681
11,547
11,588
11,868
11,890
11,705
11,462
TOTAL
45,005
44,798
44,005
43,375
42,622
41,921
41,477
41,202
40,598
39,926
39,249
38,452
37,856
37,181
36,763
36,471
36,346
36,178
35,995
35,773
Sources: Portland Public Schools (historic and current enrollment); Population Research Center, PSU (enrollment forecasts).
May 18, 2026
Note: The medium scenario reflects actual births and deaths through the end of calendar year 2024, and assumes the total fertility declines to approximately 0.75 children per woman in 2025 (from 0.77 in 2024) and remains
at 0.75, while shifting towards older birth ages. Life expectancy is projected to increase from 80 to 82 years by 2035 and thereafter is held constant. Net migration averaged 2,500 per year between 2012 and 2022, but
annually ranged between +7,000 (2016) and -4,000 (2021). It is projected to remain low (between 1,000-2,000) in between 2023-2026, and to gradually recover to +2,800 per year between 2027-2040. Projected grade
progression ratios are based on an average of the last 3 years (except Grade 12, which uses the last observed year). The share of the age-eligible kindergarten population that enroll in a PPS school is converged from its
current level (74%) to the pre-COVID 10-year average (79%) from 2027 onward. Non-resident enrollment by grade is the combination of average KG enrollment and grade progression ratios from the preceding 3 years.

### Table(s) detected on page 34 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|Grade|—- Historic Enrollment —-|—- Forecast Enrollment —-|Col4|Col5|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Grade**|**2021-22**<br>**2022-23**<br>**2023-24**<br>**2024-25**<br>**2025-26**|**2026-27**<br>**2027-28**<br>**2028-29**<br>**2029-30**<br>**2030-31**|**2031-32**<br>**2032-33**<br>**2033-34**<br>**2034-35**<br>**2035-36**|**2036-37**<br>**2037-38**<br>**2038-39**<br>**2039-40**<br>**2040-41**|
|**K**<br>**1**<br>**2**<br>**3**<br>**4**<br>**5**<br>**6**<br>**7**<br>**8**<br>**9**<br>**10**<br>**11**<br>**12**|3,195<br>3,152<br>2,995<br>2,837<br>2,919<br>3,282<br>3,376<br>3,213<br>3,070<br>2,950<br>3,476<br>3,319<br>3,360<br>3,207<br>3,078<br>3,486<br>3,502<br>3,320<br>3,365<br>3,158<br>3,388<br>3,485<br>3,464<br>3,296<br>3,351<br>3,497<br>3,358<br>3,461<br>3,410<br>3,239<br>3,375<br>3,405<br>3,205<br>3,270<br>3,305<br>3,420<br>3,355<br>3,334<br>3,200<br>3,233<br>3,550<br>3,457<br>3,285<br>3,336<br>3,215<br>3,652<br>3,601<br>3,439<br>3,394<br>3,480<br>3,474<br>3,621<br>3,593<br>3,434<br>3,401<br>3,379<br>3,381<br>3,558<br>3,546<br>3,364<br>3,831<br>3,786<br>3,778<br>4,010<br>3,929|2,969<br>3,044<br>3,150<br>2,948<br>2,772<br>3,004<br>3,052<br>3,130<br>3,238<br>3,032<br>2,946<br>3,002<br>3,048<br>3,127<br>3,234<br>3,064<br>2,933<br>2,990<br>3,035<br>3,114<br>3,136<br>3,042<br>2,912<br>2,971<br>3,014<br>3,308<br>3,096<br>3,002<br>2,875<br>2,935<br>3,108<br>3,168<br>2,955<br>2,865<br>2,737<br>3,266<br>3,074<br>3,135<br>2,926<br>2,835<br>3,216<br>3,249<br>3,058<br>3,118<br>2,910<br>3,357<br>3,337<br>3,382<br>3,159<br>3,201<br>3,481<br>3,360<br>3,345<br>3,383<br>3,167<br>3,340<br>3,421<br>3,304<br>3,292<br>3,325<br>3,726<br>3,699<br>3,791<br>3,661<br>3,650|2,778<br>2,697<br>2,681<br>2,677<br>2,683<br>2,852<br>2,858<br>2,775<br>2,759<br>2,755<br>3,029<br>2,850<br>2,856<br>2,773<br>2,757<br>3,220<br>3,016<br>2,838<br>2,844<br>2,762<br>3,093<br>3,198<br>2,996<br>2,819<br>2,825<br>2,976<br>3,054<br>3,157<br>2,958<br>2,784<br>2,786<br>2,833<br>2,907<br>3,005<br>2,814<br>2,709<br>2,760<br>2,804<br>2,877<br>2,975<br>2,820<br>2,695<br>2,745<br>2,788<br>2,861<br>2,973<br>2,883<br>2,753<br>2,802<br>2,849<br>3,212<br>2,988<br>2,891<br>2,764<br>2,819<br>3,117<br>3,163<br>2,945<br>2,846<br>2,723<br>3,684<br>3,457<br>3,508<br>3,269<br>3,156|2,698<br>2,720<br>2,744<br>2,768<br>2,791<br>2,761<br>2,776<br>2,799<br>2,823<br>2,848<br>2,753<br>2,759<br>2,774<br>2,797<br>2,821<br>2,746<br>2,742<br>2,748<br>2,763<br>2,786<br>2,744<br>2,728<br>2,724<br>2,730<br>2,745<br>2,790<br>2,710<br>2,694<br>2,690<br>2,696<br>2,646<br>2,652<br>2,574<br>2,559<br>2,555<br>2,786<br>2,620<br>2,626<br>2,549<br>2,534<br>2,959<br>2,771<br>2,605<br>2,611<br>2,535<br>2,924<br>3,023<br>2,831<br>2,660<br>2,666<br>2,862<br>2,936<br>3,036<br>2,844<br>2,674<br>2,781<br>2,821<br>2,893<br>2,991<br>2,803<br>3,021<br>3,088<br>3,130<br>3,210<br>3,319|
|**TOTAL**|45,005<br>44,798<br>44,005<br>43,375<br>42,622|41,921<br>41,477<br>41,202<br>40,598<br>39,926|39,249<br>38,452<br>37,856<br>37,181<br>36,763|36,471<br>36,346<br>36,178<br>35,995<br>35,773|
|**K-2**<br>**3-5**<br>**6-8**<br>**9-12**|9,953<br>9,847<br>9,568<br>9,114<br>8,947<br>10,371<br>10,345<br>10,245<br>10,071<br>9,748<br>10,345<br>10,217<br>9,824<br>9,806<br>9,753<br>14,336<br>14,389<br>14,368<br>14,384<br>14,174|8,919<br>9,098<br>9,328<br>9,313<br>9,038<br>9,508<br>9,071<br>8,904<br>8,881<br>9,063<br>9,590<br>9,491<br>9,148<br>8,909<br>8,482<br>13,904<br>13,817<br>13,822<br>13,495<br>13,343|8,659<br>8,405<br>8,312<br>8,209<br>8,195<br>9,289<br>9,268<br>8,991<br>8,621<br>8,371<br>8,315<br>8,288<br>8,456<br>8,670<br>8,650<br>12,986<br>12,491<br>12,097<br>11,681<br>11,547|8,212<br>8,255<br>8,317<br>8,388<br>8,460<br>8,280<br>8,180<br>8,166<br>8,183<br>8,227<br>8,391<br>8,043<br>7,805<br>7,719<br>7,624<br>11,588<br>11,868<br>11,890<br>11,705<br>11,462|
|**TOTAL**|45,005<br>44,798<br>44,005<br>43,375<br>42,622|41,921<br>41,477<br>41,202<br>40,598<br>39,926|39,249<br>38,452<br>37,856<br>37,181<br>36,763|36,471<br>36,346<br>36,178<br>35,995<br>35,773|



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## Page 35

32
Table 5.3: Enrollment Projection (Low Scenario): Portland Public Schools, 2026-2040
—- Historic Enrollment —-
—- Forecast Enrollment —-
Grade
2021-22
2022-23
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
2026-27
2027-28
2028-29
2029-30
2030-31
2031-32
2032-33
2033-34
2034-35
2035-36
2036-37
2037-38
2038-39
2039-40
2040-41
K
3,195
3,152
2,995
2,837
2,919
2,865
2,903
2,973
2,780
2,618
2,641
2,574
2,551
2,535
2,526
2,522
2,523
2,523
2,526
2,531
1
3,282
3,376
3,213
3,070
2,950
2,974
2,917
2,956
3,027
2,832
2,668
2,691
2,623
2,600
2,584
2,575
2,571
2,572
2,572
2,575
2
3,476
3,319
3,360
3,207
3,078
2,930
2,956
2,898
2,937
3,008
2,815
2,652
2,675
2,608
2,585
2,569
2,560
2,556
2,557
2,557
3
3,486
3,502
3,320
3,365
3,158
3,031
2,885
2,912
2,855
2,893
2,963
2,774
2,613
2,636
2,570
2,548
2,532
2,523
2,519
2,520
4
3,388
3,485
3,464
3,296
3,351
3,128
3,001
2,857
2,886
2,828
2,866
2,935
2,748
2,589
2,612
2,547
2,525
2,509
2,500
2,496
5
3,497
3,358
3,461
3,410
3,239
3,294
3,076
2,949
2,809
2,839
2,781
2,819
2,886
2,703
2,547
2,569
2,506
2,484
2,468
2,460
6
3,375
3,405
3,205
3,270
3,305
3,058
3,108
2,894
2,784
2,646
2,666
2,617
2,652
2,715
2,541
2,392
2,413
2,353
2,332
2,316
7
3,420
3,355
3,334
3,200
3,233
3,244
3,005
3,055
2,846
2,736
2,601
2,624
2,574
2,608
2,671
2,500
2,354
2,374
2,316
2,295
8
3,550
3,457
3,285
3,336
3,215
3,163
3,174
2,940
2,988
2,784
2,677
2,545
2,567
2,518
2,551
2,613
2,445
2,302
2,322
2,265
9
3,652
3,601
3,439
3,394
3,480
3,203
3,149
3,163
2,927
2,974
2,770
2,665
2,532
2,552
2,505
2,538
2,599
2,432
2,288
2,308
10
3,474
3,621
3,593
3,434
3,401
3,459
3,186
3,138
3,146
2,918
2,967
2,769
2,658
2,529
2,555
2,504
2,537
2,598
2,432
2,290
11
3,379
3,381
3,558
3,546
3,364
3,330
3,389
3,123
3,080
3,083
2,864
2,914
2,722
2,609
2,485
2,514
2,462
2,494
2,554
2,392
12
3,831
3,786
3,778
4,010
3,929
3,695
3,657
3,724
3,433
3,388
3,389
3,151
3,207
2,998
2,871
2,736
2,771
2,712
2,747
2,813
TOTAL
45,005
44,798
44,005
43,375
42,622
41,374
40,406
39,582
38,498
37,547
36,668
35,730
35,008
34,200
33,603
33,127
32,798
32,432
32,133
31,818
K-2
9,953
9,847
9,568
9,114
8,947
8,769
8,776
8,827
8,744
8,458
8,124
7,917
7,849
7,743
7,695
7,666
7,654
7,651
7,655
7,663
3-5
10,371
10,345
10,245
10,071
9,748
9,453
8,962
8,718
8,550
8,560
8,610
8,528
8,247
7,928
7,729
7,664
7,563
7,516
7,487
7,476
6-8
10,345
10,217
9,824
9,806
9,753
9,465
9,287
8,889
8,618
8,166
7,944
7,786
7,793
7,841
7,763
7,505
7,212
7,029
6,970
6,876
9-12
14,336
14,389
14,368
14,384
14,174
13,687
13,381
13,148
12,586
12,363
11,990
11,499
11,119
10,688
10,416
10,292
10,369
10,236
10,021
9,803
TOTAL
45,005
44,798
44,005
43,375
42,622
41,374
40,406
39,582
38,498
37,547
36,668
35,730
35,008
34,200
33,603
33,127
32,798
32,432
32,133
31,818
Sources: Portland Public Schools (historic and current enrollment); Population Research Center, PSU (enrollment forecasts).
May 18, 2026
Note: The low scenario reflects the same birth rate and life expectancy trends as the medium scenario. Net migration averages zero between 2024-27, and then averages +1,000 per year from 2030-2040. Projected
kindergarten capture rate of PPS resident age-eligible population is the same as the medium scenario. Grade progression ratios reflect the lowest year’s ratio over the last 3 years (except Grade 12, which uses the lowest of
the last 5 years). Non-resident enrollment by grade is the combination of average KG enrollment and grade progression ratios from the preceding 3 years.

### Table(s) detected on page 35 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|Grade|—- Historic Enrollment —-|—- Forecast Enrollment —-|Col4|Col5|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Grade**|**2021-22**<br>**2022-23**<br>**2023-24**<br>**2024-25**<br>**2025-26**|**2026-27**<br>**2027-28**<br>**2028-29**<br>**2029-30**<br>**2030-31**|**2031-32**<br>**2032-33**<br>**2033-34**<br>**2034-35**<br>**2035-36**|**2036-37**<br>**2037-38**<br>**2038-39**<br>**2039-40**<br>**2040-41**|
|**K**<br>**1**<br>**2**<br>**3**<br>**4**<br>**5**<br>**6**<br>**7**<br>**8**<br>**9**<br>**10**<br>**11**<br>**12**|3,195<br>3,152<br>2,995<br>2,837<br>2,919<br>3,282<br>3,376<br>3,213<br>3,070<br>2,950<br>3,476<br>3,319<br>3,360<br>3,207<br>3,078<br>3,486<br>3,502<br>3,320<br>3,365<br>3,158<br>3,388<br>3,485<br>3,464<br>3,296<br>3,351<br>3,497<br>3,358<br>3,461<br>3,410<br>3,239<br>3,375<br>3,405<br>3,205<br>3,270<br>3,305<br>3,420<br>3,355<br>3,334<br>3,200<br>3,233<br>3,550<br>3,457<br>3,285<br>3,336<br>3,215<br>3,652<br>3,601<br>3,439<br>3,394<br>3,480<br>3,474<br>3,621<br>3,593<br>3,434<br>3,401<br>3,379<br>3,381<br>3,558<br>3,546<br>3,364<br>3,831<br>3,786<br>3,778<br>4,010<br>3,929|2,865<br>2,903<br>2,973<br>2,780<br>2,618<br>2,974<br>2,917<br>2,956<br>3,027<br>2,832<br>2,930<br>2,956<br>2,898<br>2,937<br>3,008<br>3,031<br>2,885<br>2,912<br>2,855<br>2,893<br>3,128<br>3,001<br>2,857<br>2,886<br>2,828<br>3,294<br>3,076<br>2,949<br>2,809<br>2,839<br>3,058<br>3,108<br>2,894<br>2,784<br>2,646<br>3,244<br>3,005<br>3,055<br>2,846<br>2,736<br>3,163<br>3,174<br>2,940<br>2,988<br>2,784<br>3,203<br>3,149<br>3,163<br>2,927<br>2,974<br>3,459<br>3,186<br>3,138<br>3,146<br>2,918<br>3,330<br>3,389<br>3,123<br>3,080<br>3,083<br>3,695<br>3,657<br>3,724<br>3,433<br>3,388|2,641<br>2,574<br>2,551<br>2,535<br>2,526<br>2,668<br>2,691<br>2,623<br>2,600<br>2,584<br>2,815<br>2,652<br>2,675<br>2,608<br>2,585<br>2,963<br>2,774<br>2,613<br>2,636<br>2,570<br>2,866<br>2,935<br>2,748<br>2,589<br>2,612<br>2,781<br>2,819<br>2,886<br>2,703<br>2,547<br>2,666<br>2,617<br>2,652<br>2,715<br>2,541<br>2,601<br>2,624<br>2,574<br>2,608<br>2,671<br>2,677<br>2,545<br>2,567<br>2,518<br>2,551<br>2,770<br>2,665<br>2,532<br>2,552<br>2,505<br>2,967<br>2,769<br>2,658<br>2,529<br>2,555<br>2,864<br>2,914<br>2,722<br>2,609<br>2,485<br>3,389<br>3,151<br>3,207<br>2,998<br>2,871|2,522<br>2,523<br>2,523<br>2,526<br>2,531<br>2,575<br>2,571<br>2,572<br>2,572<br>2,575<br>2,569<br>2,560<br>2,556<br>2,557<br>2,557<br>2,548<br>2,532<br>2,523<br>2,519<br>2,520<br>2,547<br>2,525<br>2,509<br>2,500<br>2,496<br>2,569<br>2,506<br>2,484<br>2,468<br>2,460<br>2,392<br>2,413<br>2,353<br>2,332<br>2,316<br>2,500<br>2,354<br>2,374<br>2,316<br>2,295<br>2,613<br>2,445<br>2,302<br>2,322<br>2,265<br>2,538<br>2,599<br>2,432<br>2,288<br>2,308<br>2,504<br>2,537<br>2,598<br>2,432<br>2,290<br>2,514<br>2,462<br>2,494<br>2,554<br>2,392<br>2,736<br>2,771<br>2,712<br>2,747<br>2,813|
|**TOTAL**|45,005<br>44,798<br>44,005<br>43,375<br>42,622|41,374<br>40,406<br>39,582<br>38,498<br>37,547|36,668<br>35,730<br>35,008<br>34,200<br>33,603|33,127<br>32,798<br>32,432<br>32,133<br>31,818|
|**K-2**<br>**3-5**<br>**6-8**<br>**9-12**|9,953<br>9,847<br>9,568<br>9,114<br>8,947<br>10,371<br>10,345<br>10,245<br>10,071<br>9,748<br>10,345<br>10,217<br>9,824<br>9,806<br>9,753<br>14,336<br>14,389<br>14,368<br>14,384<br>14,174|8,769<br>8,776<br>8,827<br>8,744<br>8,458<br>9,453<br>8,962<br>8,718<br>8,550<br>8,560<br>9,465<br>9,287<br>8,889<br>8,618<br>8,166<br>13,687<br>13,381<br>13,148<br>12,586<br>12,363|8,124<br>7,917<br>7,849<br>7,743<br>7,695<br>8,610<br>8,528<br>8,247<br>7,928<br>7,729<br>7,944<br>7,786<br>7,793<br>7,841<br>7,763<br>11,990<br>11,499<br>11,119<br>10,688<br>10,416|7,666<br>7,654<br>7,651<br>7,655<br>7,663<br>7,664<br>7,563<br>7,516<br>7,487<br>7,476<br>7,505<br>7,212<br>7,029<br>6,970<br>6,876<br>10,292<br>10,369<br>10,236<br>10,021<br>9,803|
|**TOTAL**|45,005<br>44,798<br>44,005<br>43,375<br>42,622|41,374<br>40,406<br>39,582<br>38,498<br>37,547|36,668<br>35,730<br>35,008<br>34,200<br>33,603|33,127<br>32,798<br>32,432<br>32,133<br>31,818|



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## Page 36

33
Table 5.4: Enrollment Projection (High Scenario): Public Schools, 2026-2040
—- Historic Enrollment —-
—- Forecast Enrollment —-
Grade
2021-22
2022-23
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
2026-27
2027-28
2028-29
2029-30
2030-31
2031-32
2032-33
2033-34
2034-35
2035-36
2036-37
2037-38
2038-39
2039-40
2040-41
K
3,195
3,152
2,995
2,837
2,919
2,983
3,065
3,167
2,961
2,781
2,865
2,929
2,994
3,077
3,178
3,296
3,430
3,569
3,709
3,849
1
3,282
3,376
3,213
3,070
2,950
3,035
3,099
3,184
3,290
3,077
2,891
2,978
3,044
3,111
3,197
3,301
3,423
3,561
3,705
3,850
2
3,476
3,319
3,360
3,207
3,078
2,963
3,050
3,112
3,198
3,304
3,091
2,904
2,991
3,058
3,125
3,211
3,315
3,437
3,576
3,720
3
3,486
3,502
3,320
3,365
3,158
3,086
2,970
3,059
3,120
3,207
3,313
3,099
2,913
3,000
3,066
3,134
3,220
3,324
3,447
3,585
4
3,388
3,485
3,464
3,296
3,351
3,149
3,076
2,961
3,051
3,112
3,198
3,303
3,091
2,905
2,992
3,058
3,125
3,210
3,315
3,436
5
3,497
3,358
3,461
3,410
3,239
3,328
3,128
3,055
2,942
3,032
3,091
3,177
3,281
3,070
2,886
2,972
3,038
3,104
3,189
3,292
6
3,375
3,405
3,205
3,270
3,305
3,142
3,227
3,025
2,965
2,849
2,928
2,994
3,076
3,178
2,972
2,791
2,875
2,939
3,005
3,088
7
3,420
3,355
3,334
3,200
3,233
3,295
3,135
3,221
3,021
2,959
2,844
2,926
2,989
3,071
3,173
2,967
2,787
2,871
2,935
3,000
8
3,550
3,457
3,285
3,336
3,215
3,250
3,313
3,152
3,237
3,035
2,974
2,859
2,940
3,003
3,086
3,188
2,981
2,800
2,885
2,949
9
3,652
3,601
3,439
3,394
3,480
3,350
3,384
3,454
3,283
3,370
3,158
3,097
2,975
3,057
3,126
3,212
3,318
3,103
2,912
3,001
10
3,474
3,621
3,593
3,434
3,401
3,503
3,374
3,413
3,477
3,310
3,401
3,192
3,124
3,003
3,092
3,157
3,243
3,350
3,133
2,943
11
3,379
3,381
3,558
3,546
3,364
3,354
3,456
3,331
3,372
3,431
3,270
3,362
3,157
3,086
2,969
3,060
3,121
3,206
3,312
3,098
12
3,831
3,786
3,778
4,010
3,929
3,781
3,769
3,886
3,745
3,793
3,857
3,679
3,782
3,553
3,471
3,341
3,445
3,512
3,607
3,726
TOTAL
45,005
44,798
44,005
43,375
42,622
42,219
42,047
42,019
41,662
41,260
40,881
40,498
40,356
40,172
40,332
40,687
41,321
41,988
42,729
43,538
K-2
9,953
9,847
9,568
9,114
8,947
8,981
9,214
9,463
9,449
9,162
8,847
8,811
9,029
9,246
9,500
9,808
10,168
10,568
10,990
11,419
3-5
10,371
10,345
10,245
10,071
9,748
9,563
9,175
9,074
9,114
9,351
9,602
9,579
9,285
8,976
8,945
9,164
9,382
9,639
9,950
10,314
6-8
10,345
10,217
9,824
9,806
9,753
9,688
9,676
9,398
9,222
8,843
8,747
8,778
9,005
9,252
9,230
8,946
8,643
8,611
8,824
9,037
9-12
14,336
14,389
14,368
14,384
14,174
13,988
13,984
14,084
13,877
13,904
13,686
13,329
13,037
12,699
12,657
12,769
13,127
13,171
12,964
12,768
TOTAL
45,005
44,798
44,005
43,375
42,622
42,219
42,047
42,019
41,662
41,260
40,881
40,498
40,356
40,172
40,332
40,687
41,321
41,988
42,729
43,538
Sources: Portland Public Schools (historic and current enrollment); Population Research Center, PSU (enrollment forecasts).
May 18, 2026
Note: The high scenario reflects the same life expectancy trends as the medium scenario, and an increase in the total fertility rate to 1.0 children per woman by 2035 (from 0.77 in 2024). Net migration averages +5,000 per
year between 2025-2034 and +4,000 per year to 2040. Projected kindergarten capture rate of PPS resident age-eligible population is the same as the medium scenario. Grade progression ratios reflect the highest year’s
ratio over the last 3 years (except Grade 12, which uses highest of the last 5 years). Non-resident enrollment by grade is the combination of average KG enrollment and grade progression ratios from the preceding 3 years.

### Table(s) detected on page 36 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|Grade|—- Historic Enrollment —-|—- Forecast Enrollment —-|Col4|Col5|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Grade**|**2021-22**<br>**2022-23**<br>**2023-24**<br>**2024-25**<br>**2025-26**|**2026-27**<br>**2027-28**<br>**2028-29**<br>**2029-30**<br>**2030-31**|**2031-32**<br>**2032-33**<br>**2033-34**<br>**2034-35**<br>**2035-36**|**2036-37**<br>**2037-38**<br>**2038-39**<br>**2039-40**<br>**2040-41**|
|**K**<br>**1**<br>**2**<br>**3**<br>**4**<br>**5**<br>**6**<br>**7**<br>**8**<br>**9**<br>**10**<br>**11**<br>**12**|3,195<br>3,152<br>2,995<br>2,837<br>2,919<br>3,282<br>3,376<br>3,213<br>3,070<br>2,950<br>3,476<br>3,319<br>3,360<br>3,207<br>3,078<br>3,486<br>3,502<br>3,320<br>3,365<br>3,158<br>3,388<br>3,485<br>3,464<br>3,296<br>3,351<br>3,497<br>3,358<br>3,461<br>3,410<br>3,239<br>3,375<br>3,405<br>3,205<br>3,270<br>3,305<br>3,420<br>3,355<br>3,334<br>3,200<br>3,233<br>3,550<br>3,457<br>3,285<br>3,336<br>3,215<br>3,652<br>3,601<br>3,439<br>3,394<br>3,480<br>3,474<br>3,621<br>3,593<br>3,434<br>3,401<br>3,379<br>3,381<br>3,558<br>3,546<br>3,364<br>3,831<br>3,786<br>3,778<br>4,010<br>3,929|2,983<br>3,065<br>3,167<br>2,961<br>2,781<br>3,035<br>3,099<br>3,184<br>3,290<br>3,077<br>2,963<br>3,050<br>3,112<br>3,198<br>3,304<br>3,086<br>2,970<br>3,059<br>3,120<br>3,207<br>3,149<br>3,076<br>2,961<br>3,051<br>3,112<br>3,328<br>3,128<br>3,055<br>2,942<br>3,032<br>3,142<br>3,227<br>3,025<br>2,965<br>2,849<br>3,295<br>3,135<br>3,221<br>3,021<br>2,959<br>3,250<br>3,313<br>3,152<br>3,237<br>3,035<br>3,350<br>3,384<br>3,454<br>3,283<br>3,370<br>3,503<br>3,374<br>3,413<br>3,477<br>3,310<br>3,354<br>3,456<br>3,331<br>3,372<br>3,431<br>3,781<br>3,769<br>3,886<br>3,745<br>3,793|2,865<br>2,929<br>2,994<br>3,077<br>3,178<br>2,891<br>2,978<br>3,044<br>3,111<br>3,197<br>3,091<br>2,904<br>2,991<br>3,058<br>3,125<br>3,313<br>3,099<br>2,913<br>3,000<br>3,066<br>3,198<br>3,303<br>3,091<br>2,905<br>2,992<br>3,091<br>3,177<br>3,281<br>3,070<br>2,886<br>2,928<br>2,994<br>3,076<br>3,178<br>2,972<br>2,844<br>2,926<br>2,989<br>3,071<br>3,173<br>2,974<br>2,859<br>2,940<br>3,003<br>3,086<br>3,158<br>3,097<br>2,975<br>3,057<br>3,126<br>3,401<br>3,192<br>3,124<br>3,003<br>3,092<br>3,270<br>3,362<br>3,157<br>3,086<br>2,969<br>3,857<br>3,679<br>3,782<br>3,553<br>3,471|3,296<br>3,430<br>3,569<br>3,709<br>3,849<br>3,301<br>3,423<br>3,561<br>3,705<br>3,850<br>3,211<br>3,315<br>3,437<br>3,576<br>3,720<br>3,134<br>3,220<br>3,324<br>3,447<br>3,585<br>3,058<br>3,125<br>3,210<br>3,315<br>3,436<br>2,972<br>3,038<br>3,104<br>3,189<br>3,292<br>2,791<br>2,875<br>2,939<br>3,005<br>3,088<br>2,967<br>2,787<br>2,871<br>2,935<br>3,000<br>3,188<br>2,981<br>2,800<br>2,885<br>2,949<br>3,212<br>3,318<br>3,103<br>2,912<br>3,001<br>3,157<br>3,243<br>3,350<br>3,133<br>2,943<br>3,060<br>3,121<br>3,206<br>3,312<br>3,098<br>3,341<br>3,445<br>3,512<br>3,607<br>3,726|
|**TOTAL**|45,005<br>44,798<br>44,005<br>43,375<br>42,622|42,219<br>42,047<br>42,019<br>41,662<br>41,260|40,881<br>40,498<br>40,356<br>40,172<br>40,332|40,687<br>41,321<br>41,988<br>42,729<br>43,538|
|**K-2**<br>**3-5**<br>**6-8**<br>**9-12**|9,953<br>9,847<br>9,568<br>9,114<br>8,947<br>10,371<br>10,345<br>10,245<br>10,071<br>9,748<br>10,345<br>10,217<br>9,824<br>9,806<br>9,753<br>14,336<br>14,389<br>14,368<br>14,384<br>14,174|8,981<br>9,214<br>9,463<br>9,449<br>9,162<br>9,563<br>9,175<br>9,074<br>9,114<br>9,351<br>9,688<br>9,676<br>9,398<br>9,222<br>8,843<br>13,988<br>13,984<br>14,084<br>13,877<br>13,904|8,847<br>8,811<br>9,029<br>9,246<br>9,500<br>9,602<br>9,579<br>9,285<br>8,976<br>8,945<br>8,747<br>8,778<br>9,005<br>9,252<br>9,230<br>13,686<br>13,329<br>13,037<br>12,699<br>12,657|9,808<br>10,168<br>10,568<br>10,990<br>11,419<br>9,164<br>9,382<br>9,639<br>9,950<br>10,314<br>8,946<br>8,643<br>8,611<br>8,824<br>9,037<br>12,769<br>13,127<br>13,171<br>12,964<br>12,768|
|**TOTAL**|45,005<br>44,798<br>44,005<br>43,375<br>42,622|42,219<br>42,047<br>42,019<br>41,662<br>41,260|40,881<br>40,498<br>40,356<br>40,172<br>40,332|40,687<br>41,321<br>41,988<br>42,729<br>43,538|



[Note: this page contains a map, chart or other graphic. Only its text labels are captured above; the map's lines, shading, boundaries and imagery are not captured in text.]

## Page 37

Table 5.5: Enrollment Projection by Grade Group: Portland Public Schools, 2026-2035
– Historic Enrollment –
—- Forecast Enrollment —-
Name
Type
Program
Grades
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
2026-27
2027-28
2028-29
2029-30
2030-31
2031-32
2032-33
2033-34
2034-35
2035-36
Abernethy
ES
Total
K-5
330
284
269
250
242
242
247
244
241
237
232
225
223
Buckman
ES
Total
K-5
371
308
283
263
244
245
248
246
239
233
231
225
222
Duniway
ES
Total
K-5
409
387
362
362
338
347
344
348
345
340
337
329
325
Grout
ES
Total
K-5
302
294
327
306
303
300
297
285
280
275
267
260
255
Lewis
ES
Total
K-5
298
264
259
243
224
206
213
202
201
197
192
188
185
Llewellyn
ES
Total
K-5
393
373
345
333
312
303
313
316
312
310
304
297
291
Whitman
ES
Total
K-5
180
198
194
197
205
216
217
222
223
226
225
219
215
Woodstock
ES
Mandarin
K-5
237
206
190
190
193
200
195
197
194
192
187
182
180
Woodstock
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
214
188
177
163
149
144
142
139
131
127
122
121
121
Woodstock
ES
Total
K-5
451
394
367
353
342
344
337
336
325
319
309
303
301
Hosford
MS
Total
6-8
517
537
528
522
482
445
390
375
374
376
371
371
370
Sellwood
MS
Total
6-8
567
576
564
537
523
484
439
382
350
362
364
380
380
Cleveland
HS
Mandarin
9-12
146
131
115
104
113
122
126
124
112
115
115
122
121
Cleveland
HS
Neighborhood
9-12
1,328
1,291
1,336
1,314
1,347
1,345
1,293
1,279
1,206
1,116
1,064
1,017
1,006
Cleveland
HS
Total
9-12
1,474
1,422
1,451
1,418
1,460
1,467
1,419
1,403
1,318
1,231
1,179
1,139
1,127
Arleta
ES
Total
K-5
274
252
230
216
213
214
212
216
210
211
211
203
203
Atkinson
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
203
188
188
176
181
188
188
203
203
208
206
200
196
Atkinson
ES
Spanish
K-5
163
185
178
181
182
187
190
183
183
181
178
170
168
Atkinson
ES
Total
K-5
366
373
366
357
363
375
378
386
386
389
384
370
364
Creston
ES
Total
K-5
238
241
213
199
201
191
189
188
187
181
173
171
167
Glencoe
ES
Total
K-5
372
356
339
326
311
292
295
301
296
290
283
274
269
Kelly
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
232
246
268
265
257
258
253
246
246
245
241
235
233
Kelly
ES
Russian
K-5
144
139
143
147
145
144
150
148
145
143
141
139
139
Kelly
ES
Total
K-5
376
385
411
412
402
402
403
394
391
388
382
374
372
Lent
ES
Spanish
K-5
273
256
256
253
256
268
271
283
274
270
265
254
249
Lent
ES
Total
K-5
273
256
256
253
256
268
271
283
274
270
265
254
249
Marysville
ES
Total
K-5
359
320
307
294
300
308
317
317
312
306
297
287
279
Woodmere
ES
Total
K-5
248
242
227
222
224
222
223
217
225
221
216
209
200
Bridger Creative Science
K8
Total
K-8
515
474
446
449
450
444
440
421
415
418
418
411
403
Sunnyside Environmental
K8
Total
K-8
447
461
485
482
484
481
474
478
475
483
485
477
476
Kellogg
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
449
373
330
298
275
246
226
208
214
219
233
243
249
Kellogg
MS
Spanish
6-8
228
221
201
216
238
247
244
242
257
263
273
282
283
Kellogg
MS
Total
6-8
677
594
531
514
513
493
470
450
471
482
506
525
532
Lane
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
362
386
411
388
384
367
360
342
327
321
320
338
341
Lane
MS
Russian
6-8
29
32
36
37
33
35
33
30
30
31
32
32
31
Lane
MS
Total
6-8
391
418
447
425
417
402
393
372
357
352
352
370
372
Mt Tabor
MS
Japanese
6-8
244
238
222
216
213
210
204
209
210
210
205
205
209
Mt Tabor
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
259
229
208
199
193
201
182
165
144
149
160
161
162
Mt Tabor
MS
Total
6-8
503
467
430
415
406
411
386
374
354
359
365
366
371
Franklin
HS
Neighborhood
9-12
1,622
1,612
1,578
1,515
1,479
1,391
1,336
1,286
1,242
1,165
1,080
1,032
1,005
Franklin
HS
Russian
9-12
41
36
29
23
26
25
24
28
25
25
25
24
23
Franklin
HS
Spanish
9-12
148
161
173
187
184
191
207
216
225
234
233
240
248
Franklin
HS
Total
9-12
1,811
1,809
1,780
1,725
1,689
1,607
1,567
1,530
1,492
1,424
1,338
1,296
1,276
Alameda
ES
Total
K-5
521
496
513
503
498
503
507
502
492
486
476
465
461
Beverly Cleary
K8
Total
K-8
560
535
480
464
430
412
407
398
389
392
379
377
374
Laurelhurst
K8
Total
K-8
659
656
610
574
607
587
560
542
525
516
498
491
471
Beaumont
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
320
319
315
314
295
279
265
257
273
280
287
287
281
Beaumont
MS
Spanish
6-8
114
116
101
101
115
109
125
133
145
144
144
151
150

### Table(s) detected on page 37 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|Name Type Program Grades|– Historic Enrollment –<br>2023-24 2024-25 2025-26|—- Forecast Enrollment —-<br>2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32 2032-33 2033-34 2034-35 2035-36|
|---|---|---|
|Abernethy<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Buckman<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Duniway<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Grout<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Lewis<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Llewellyn<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Whitman<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Woodstock<br>ES<br>Mandarin<br>K-5<br>Woodstock<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>Woodstock<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Hosford<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Sellwood<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Cleveland<br>HS<br>Mandarin<br>9-12<br>Cleveland<br>HS<br>Neighborhood<br>9-12<br>Cleveland<br>HS<br>Total<br>9-12<br>Arleta<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Atkinson<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>Atkinson<br>ES<br>Spanish<br>K-5<br>Atkinson<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Creston<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Glencoe<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Kelly<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>Kelly<br>ES<br>Russian<br>K-5<br>Kelly<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Lent<br>ES<br>Spanish<br>K-5<br>Lent<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Marysville<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Woodmere<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Bridger Creative Science<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>Sunnyside Environmental<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>Kellogg<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>Kellogg<br>MS<br>Spanish<br>6-8<br>Kellogg<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Lane<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>Lane<br>MS<br>Russian<br>6-8<br>Lane<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Mt Tabor<br>MS<br>Japanese<br>6-8<br>Mt Tabor<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>Mt Tabor<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Franklin<br>HS<br>Neighborhood<br>9-12<br>Franklin<br>HS<br>Russian<br>9-12<br>Franklin<br>HS<br>Spanish<br>9-12<br>Franklin<br>HS<br>Total<br>9-12<br>Alameda<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Beverly Cleary<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>Laurelhurst<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>Beaumont<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>Beaumont<br>MS<br>Spanish<br>6-8|330<br>284<br>269<br>371<br>308<br>283<br>409<br>387<br>362<br>302<br>294<br>327<br>298<br>264<br>259<br>393<br>373<br>345<br>180<br>198<br>194<br>237<br>206<br>190<br>214<br>188<br>177<br>451<br>394<br>367<br>517<br>537<br>528<br>567<br>576<br>564<br>146<br>131<br>115<br>1,328<br>1,291<br>1,336<br>1,474<br>1,422<br>1,451<br>274<br>252<br>230<br>203<br>188<br>188<br>163<br>185<br>178<br>366<br>373<br>366<br>238<br>241<br>213<br>372<br>356<br>339<br>232<br>246<br>268<br>144<br>139<br>143<br>376<br>385<br>411<br>273<br>256<br>256<br>273<br>256<br>256<br>359<br>320<br>307<br>248<br>242<br>227<br>515<br>474<br>446<br>447<br>461<br>485<br>449<br>373<br>330<br>228<br>221<br>201<br>677<br>594<br>531<br>362<br>386<br>411<br>29<br>32<br>36<br>391<br>418<br>447<br>244<br>238<br>222<br>259<br>229<br>208<br>503<br>467<br>430<br>1,622<br>1,612<br>1,578<br>41<br>36<br>29<br>148<br>161<br>173<br>1,811<br>1,809<br>1,780<br>521<br>496<br>513<br>560<br>535<br>480<br>659<br>656<br>610<br>320<br>319<br>315<br>114<br>116<br>101|250<br>242<br>242<br>247<br>244<br>241<br>237<br>232<br>225<br>223<br>263<br>244<br>245<br>248<br>246<br>239<br>233<br>231<br>225<br>222<br>362<br>338<br>347<br>344<br>348<br>345<br>340<br>337<br>329<br>325<br>306<br>303<br>300<br>297<br>285<br>280<br>275<br>267<br>260<br>255<br>243<br>224<br>206<br>213<br>202<br>201<br>197<br>192<br>188<br>185<br>333<br>312<br>303<br>313<br>316<br>312<br>310<br>304<br>297<br>291<br>197<br>205<br>216<br>217<br>222<br>223<br>226<br>225<br>219<br>215<br>190<br>193<br>200<br>195<br>197<br>194<br>192<br>187<br>182<br>180<br>163<br>149<br>144<br>142<br>139<br>131<br>127<br>122<br>121<br>121<br>353<br>342<br>344<br>337<br>336<br>325<br>319<br>309<br>303<br>301<br>522<br>482<br>445<br>390<br>375<br>374<br>376<br>371<br>371<br>370<br>537<br>523<br>484<br>439<br>382<br>350<br>362<br>364<br>380<br>380<br>104<br>113<br>122<br>126<br>124<br>112<br>115<br>115<br>122<br>121<br>1,314<br>1,347<br>1,345<br>1,293<br>1,279<br>1,206<br>1,116<br>1,064<br>1,017<br>1,006<br>1,418<br>1,460<br>1,467<br>1,419<br>1,403<br>1,318<br>1,231<br>1,179<br>1,139<br>1,127<br>216<br>213<br>214<br>212<br>216<br>210<br>211<br>211<br>203<br>203<br>176<br>181<br>188<br>188<br>203<br>203<br>208<br>206<br>200<br>196<br>181<br>182<br>187<br>190<br>183<br>183<br>181<br>178<br>170<br>168<br>357<br>363<br>375<br>378<br>386<br>386<br>389<br>384<br>370<br>364<br>199<br>201<br>191<br>189<br>188<br>187<br>181<br>173<br>171<br>167<br>326<br>311<br>292<br>295<br>301<br>296<br>290<br>283<br>274<br>269<br>265<br>257<br>258<br>253<br>246<br>246<br>245<br>241<br>235<br>233<br>147<br>145<br>144<br>150<br>148<br>145<br>143<br>141<br>139<br>139<br>412<br>402<br>402<br>403<br>394<br>391<br>388<br>382<br>374<br>372<br>253<br>256<br>268<br>271<br>283<br>274<br>270<br>265<br>254<br>249<br>253<br>256<br>268<br>271<br>283<br>274<br>270<br>265<br>254<br>249<br>294<br>300<br>308<br>317<br>317<br>312<br>306<br>297<br>287<br>279<br>222<br>224<br>222<br>223<br>217<br>225<br>221<br>216<br>209<br>200<br>449<br>450<br>444<br>440<br>421<br>415<br>418<br>418<br>411<br>403<br>482<br>484<br>481<br>474<br>478<br>475<br>483<br>485<br>477<br>476<br>298<br>275<br>246<br>226<br>208<br>214<br>219<br>233<br>243<br>249<br>216<br>238<br>247<br>244<br>242<br>257<br>263<br>273<br>282<br>283<br>514<br>513<br>493<br>470<br>450<br>471<br>482<br>506<br>525<br>532<br>388<br>384<br>367<br>360<br>342<br>327<br>321<br>320<br>338<br>341<br>37<br>33<br>35<br>33<br>30<br>30<br>31<br>32<br>32<br>31<br>425<br>417<br>402<br>393<br>372<br>357<br>352<br>352<br>370<br>372<br>216<br>213<br>210<br>204<br>209<br>210<br>210<br>205<br>205<br>209<br>199<br>193<br>201<br>182<br>165<br>144<br>149<br>160<br>161<br>162<br>415<br>406<br>411<br>386<br>374<br>354<br>359<br>365<br>366<br>371<br>1,515<br>1,479<br>1,391<br>1,336<br>1,286<br>1,242<br>1,165<br>1,080<br>1,032<br>1,005<br>23<br>26<br>25<br>24<br>28<br>25<br>25<br>25<br>24<br>23<br>187<br>184<br>191<br>207<br>216<br>225<br>234<br>233<br>240<br>248<br>1,725<br>1,689<br>1,607<br>1,567<br>1,530<br>1,492<br>1,424<br>1,338<br>1,296<br>1,276<br>503<br>498<br>503<br>507<br>502<br>492<br>486<br>476<br>465<br>461<br>464<br>430<br>412<br>407<br>398<br>389<br>392<br>379<br>377<br>374<br>574<br>607<br>587<br>560<br>542<br>525<br>516<br>498<br>491<br>471<br>314<br>295<br>279<br>265<br>257<br>273<br>280<br>287<br>287<br>281<br>101<br>115<br>109<br>125<br>133<br>145<br>144<br>144<br>151<br>150|



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## Page 38

Table 5.5 Enrollment Projection by Grade Group: Portland Public Schools, 2026-2035 (Continued)
– Historic Enrollment –
—- Forecast Enrollment —-
Name
Type
Program
Grades
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
2026-27
2027-28
2028-29
2029-30
2030-31
2031-32
2032-33
2033-34
2034-35
2035-36
Beaumont
MS
Total
6-8
434
435
416
415
410
388
390
390
418
424
431
438
431
Grant
HS
Japanese
9-12
286
274
265
260
253
241
232
225
221
217
217
217
217
Grant
HS
Neighborhood
9-12
1,892
1,875
1,809
1,755
1,682
1,581
1,481
1,351
1,266
1,177
1,115
1,046
1,020
Grant
HS
Total
9-12
2,178
2,149
2,074
2,015
1,935
1,822
1,713
1,576
1,487
1,394
1,332
1,263
1,237
Boise-Eliot/Humboldt
ES
Total
K-5
308
315
294
310
314
333
324
322
308
292
279
267
265
Irvington
ES
Total
K-5
235
249
259
249
240
236
229
220
223
222
218
213
210
MLK Jr
ES
Mandarin
K-5
183
179
193
189
201
201
203
204
196
193
190
185
184
MLK Jr
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
124
133
126
125
136
142
143
146
141
137
130
122
119
MLK Jr
ES
Total
K-5
307
312
319
314
337
343
346
350
337
330
320
307
303
Sabin
ES
Total
K-5
302
293
269
258
236
248
240
234
235
232
229
223
220
Harriet Tubman
MS
Mandarin
6-8
32
43
48
57
50
54
47
51
52
56
60
58
58
Harriet Tubman
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
288
285
354
383
407
360
342
317
322
321
326
333
323
Harriet Tubman
MS
Total
6-8
320
328
402
440
457
414
389
368
374
377
386
391
381
Faubion
K8
Total
K-8
571
589
600
627
618
606
606
606
602
589
583
572
558
Vernon
K8
Total
K-8
578
563
541
515
492
488
477
463
453
448
444
447
444
Beach
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
134
121
133
145
158
161
167
168
160
154
148
142
137
Beach
ES
Spanish
K-5
191
174
155
140
126
127
124
129
127
124
121
118
116
Beach
ES
Total
K-5
325
295
288
285
284
288
291
297
287
278
269
260
253
Chief Joseph
ES
Total
K-5
265
275
242
242
245
248
240
234
238
234
229
224
221
Peninsula
ES
Total
K-5
234
235
239
252
250
249
236
236
236
236
228
221
217
Woodlawn
ES
Total
K-5
299
306
323
320
300
315
298
291
289
283
279
270
265
Ockley Green
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
350
341
397
372
377
350
392
390
402
386
396
405
407
Ockley Green
MS
Spanish
6-8
78
69
63
64
65
55
48
33
34
34
39
39
38
Ockley Green
MS
Total
6-8
428
410
460
436
442
405
440
423
436
420
435
444
445
Jefferson
HS
Mandarin
9-12
10
13
14
8
8
9
10
10
11
11
11
13
11
Jefferson
HS
Neighborhood
9-12
515
446
377
414
556
796
971
1,148
1,172
1,167
1,162
1,146
1,164
Jefferson
HS
Total
9-12
525
459
391
422
564
805
981
1,158
1,183
1,178
1,173
1,159
1,175
Ainsworth
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
294
289
273
268
269
274
260
258
266
265
261
255
248
Ainsworth
ES
Spanish
K-5
291
295
287
287
286
294
291
293
291
285
279
272
268
Ainsworth
ES
Total
K-5
585
584
560
555
555
568
551
551
557
550
540
527
516
Chapman
ES
Total
K-5
344
349
330
336
316
338
333
324
333
327
318
300
295
Forest Park
ES
Total
K-5
321
303
264
259
260
260
257
252
258
253
251
246
243
Skyline
K8
Total
K-8
218
226
207
203
196
197
190
180
177
170
168
174
170
West Sylvan
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
591
553
567
536
552
515
536
517
487
464
464
507
511
West Sylvan
MS
Spanish
6-8
131
117
116
117
135
132
134
128
133
131
136
138
138
West Sylvan
MS
Total
6-8
722
670
683
653
687
647
670
645
620
595
600
645
649
Lincoln
HS
Neighborhood
9-12
1,387
1,430
1,469
1,470
1,432
1,421
1,338
1,271
1,231
1,169
1,117
1,051
1,021
Lincoln
HS
Spanish
9-12
192
185
178
182
166
168
168
171
180
183
180
179
185
Lincoln
HS
Total
9-12
1,579
1,615
1,647
1,652
1,598
1,589
1,506
1,442
1,411
1,352
1,297
1,230
1,206
Clark
ES
Mandarin
K-5
80
72
91
95
100
94
93
92
87
85
84
84
84
Clark
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
261
259
273
268
260
261
263
258
256
253
249
242
239
Clark
ES
Total
K-5
341
331
364
363
360
355
356
350
343
338
333
326
323
Lee
ES
Total
K-5
288
257
251
254
245
249
239
252
254
252
250
243
239
Rigler
ES
Spanish
K-5
255
301
289
301
306
329
326
320
321
316
310
302
298
Rigler
ES
Total
K-5
255
301
289
301
306
329
326
320
321
316
310
302
298
Rose City Park
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
248
237
210
196
183
157
161
153
160
159
157
151
148
Rose City Park
ES
Total
K-5
464
446
417
398
391
366
368
364
370
365
359
349
345
Rose City Park
ES
Vietnamese
K-5
216
209
207
202
208
209
207
211
210
206
202
198
197

### Table(s) detected on page 38 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|Name Type Program Grades|– Historic Enrollment –<br>2023-24 2024-25 2025-26|—- Forecast Enrollment —-<br>2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32 2032-33 2033-34 2034-35 2035-36|
|---|---|---|
|Beaumont<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Grant<br>HS<br>Japanese<br>9-12<br>Grant<br>HS<br>Neighborhood<br>9-12<br>Grant<br>HS<br>Total<br>9-12<br>Boise-Eliot/Humboldt<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Irvington<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>MLK Jr<br>ES<br>Mandarin<br>K-5<br>MLK Jr<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>MLK Jr<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Sabin<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Harriet Tubman<br>MS<br>Mandarin<br>6-8<br>Harriet Tubman<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>Harriet Tubman<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Faubion<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>Vernon<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>Beach<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>Beach<br>ES<br>Spanish<br>K-5<br>Beach<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Chief Joseph<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Peninsula<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Woodlawn<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Ockley Green<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>Ockley Green<br>MS<br>Spanish<br>6-8<br>Ockley Green<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Jefferson<br>HS<br>Mandarin<br>9-12<br>Jefferson<br>HS<br>Neighborhood<br>9-12<br>Jefferson<br>HS<br>Total<br>9-12<br>Ainsworth<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>Ainsworth<br>ES<br>Spanish<br>K-5<br>Ainsworth<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Chapman<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Forest Park<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Skyline<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>West Sylvan<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>West Sylvan<br>MS<br>Spanish<br>6-8<br>West Sylvan<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Lincoln<br>HS<br>Neighborhood<br>9-12<br>Lincoln<br>HS<br>Spanish<br>9-12<br>Lincoln<br>HS<br>Total<br>9-12<br>Clark<br>ES<br>Mandarin<br>K-5<br>Clark<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>Clark<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Lee<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Rigler<br>ES<br>Spanish<br>K-5<br>Rigler<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Rose City Park<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>Rose City Park<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Rose City Park<br>ES<br>Vietnamese<br>K-5|434<br>435<br>416<br>286<br>274<br>265<br>1,892<br>1,875<br>1,809<br>2,178<br>2,149<br>2,074<br>308<br>315<br>294<br>235<br>249<br>259<br>183<br>179<br>193<br>124<br>133<br>126<br>307<br>312<br>319<br>302<br>293<br>269<br>32<br>43<br>48<br>288<br>285<br>354<br>320<br>328<br>402<br>571<br>589<br>600<br>578<br>563<br>541<br>134<br>121<br>133<br>191<br>174<br>155<br>325<br>295<br>288<br>265<br>275<br>242<br>234<br>235<br>239<br>299<br>306<br>323<br>350<br>341<br>397<br>78<br>69<br>63<br>428<br>410<br>460<br>10<br>13<br>14<br>515<br>446<br>377<br>525<br>459<br>391<br>294<br>289<br>273<br>291<br>295<br>287<br>585<br>584<br>560<br>344<br>349<br>330<br>321<br>303<br>264<br>218<br>226<br>207<br>591<br>553<br>567<br>131<br>117<br>116<br>722<br>670<br>683<br>1,387<br>1,430<br>1,469<br>192<br>185<br>178<br>1,579<br>1,615<br>1,647<br>80<br>72<br>91<br>261<br>259<br>273<br>341<br>331<br>364<br>288<br>257<br>251<br>255<br>301<br>289<br>255<br>301<br>289<br>248<br>237<br>210<br>464<br>446<br>417<br>216<br>209<br>207|415<br>410<br>388<br>390<br>390<br>418<br>424<br>431<br>438<br>431<br>260<br>253<br>241<br>232<br>225<br>221<br>217<br>217<br>217<br>217<br>1,755<br>1,682<br>1,581<br>1,481<br>1,351<br>1,266<br>1,177<br>1,115<br>1,046<br>1,020<br>2,015<br>1,935<br>1,822<br>1,713<br>1,576<br>1,487<br>1,394<br>1,332<br>1,263<br>1,237<br>310<br>314<br>333<br>324<br>322<br>308<br>292<br>279<br>267<br>265<br>249<br>240<br>236<br>229<br>220<br>223<br>222<br>218<br>213<br>210<br>189<br>201<br>201<br>203<br>204<br>196<br>193<br>190<br>185<br>184<br>125<br>136<br>142<br>143<br>146<br>141<br>137<br>130<br>122<br>119<br>314<br>337<br>343<br>346<br>350<br>337<br>330<br>320<br>307<br>303<br>258<br>236<br>248<br>240<br>234<br>235<br>232<br>229<br>223<br>220<br>57<br>50<br>54<br>47<br>51<br>52<br>56<br>60<br>58<br>58<br>383<br>407<br>360<br>342<br>317<br>322<br>321<br>326<br>333<br>323<br>440<br>457<br>414<br>389<br>368<br>374<br>377<br>386<br>391<br>381<br>627<br>618<br>606<br>606<br>606<br>602<br>589<br>583<br>572<br>558<br>515<br>492<br>488<br>477<br>463<br>453<br>448<br>444<br>447<br>444<br>145<br>158<br>161<br>167<br>168<br>160<br>154<br>148<br>142<br>137<br>140<br>126<br>127<br>124<br>129<br>127<br>124<br>121<br>118<br>116<br>285<br>284<br>288<br>291<br>297<br>287<br>278<br>269<br>260<br>253<br>242<br>245<br>248<br>240<br>234<br>238<br>234<br>229<br>224<br>221<br>252<br>250<br>249<br>236<br>236<br>236<br>236<br>228<br>221<br>217<br>320<br>300<br>315<br>298<br>291<br>289<br>283<br>279<br>270<br>265<br>372<br>377<br>350<br>392<br>390<br>402<br>386<br>396<br>405<br>407<br>64<br>65<br>55<br>48<br>33<br>34<br>34<br>39<br>39<br>38<br>436<br>442<br>405<br>440<br>423<br>436<br>420<br>435<br>444<br>445<br>8<br>8<br>9<br>10<br>10<br>11<br>11<br>11<br>13<br>11<br>414<br>556<br>796<br>971<br>1,148<br>1,172<br>1,167<br>1,162<br>1,146<br>1,164<br>422<br>564<br>805<br>981<br>1,158<br>1,183<br>1,178<br>1,173<br>1,159<br>1,175<br>268<br>269<br>274<br>260<br>258<br>266<br>265<br>261<br>255<br>248<br>287<br>286<br>294<br>291<br>293<br>291<br>285<br>279<br>272<br>268<br>555<br>555<br>568<br>551<br>551<br>557<br>550<br>540<br>527<br>516<br>336<br>316<br>338<br>333<br>324<br>333<br>327<br>318<br>300<br>295<br>259<br>260<br>260<br>257<br>252<br>258<br>253<br>251<br>246<br>243<br>203<br>196<br>197<br>190<br>180<br>177<br>170<br>168<br>174<br>170<br>536<br>552<br>515<br>536<br>517<br>487<br>464<br>464<br>507<br>511<br>117<br>135<br>132<br>134<br>128<br>133<br>131<br>136<br>138<br>138<br>653<br>687<br>647<br>670<br>645<br>620<br>595<br>600<br>645<br>649<br>1,470<br>1,432<br>1,421<br>1,338<br>1,271<br>1,231<br>1,169<br>1,117<br>1,051<br>1,021<br>182<br>166<br>168<br>168<br>171<br>180<br>183<br>180<br>179<br>185<br>1,652<br>1,598<br>1,589<br>1,506<br>1,442<br>1,411<br>1,352<br>1,297<br>1,230<br>1,206<br>95<br>100<br>94<br>93<br>92<br>87<br>85<br>84<br>84<br>84<br>268<br>260<br>261<br>263<br>258<br>256<br>253<br>249<br>242<br>239<br>363<br>360<br>355<br>356<br>350<br>343<br>338<br>333<br>326<br>323<br>254<br>245<br>249<br>239<br>252<br>254<br>252<br>250<br>243<br>239<br>301<br>306<br>329<br>326<br>320<br>321<br>316<br>310<br>302<br>298<br>301<br>306<br>329<br>326<br>320<br>321<br>316<br>310<br>302<br>298<br>196<br>183<br>157<br>161<br>153<br>160<br>159<br>157<br>151<br>148<br>398<br>391<br>366<br>368<br>364<br>370<br>365<br>359<br>349<br>345<br>202<br>208<br>209<br>207<br>211<br>210<br>206<br>202<br>198<br>197|



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## Page 39

Table 5.5 Enrollment Projection by Grade Group: Portland Public Schools, 2026-2035 (Continued)
– Historic Enrollment –
—- Forecast Enrollment —-
Name
Type
Program
Grades
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
2026-27
2027-28
2028-29
2029-30
2030-31
2031-32
2032-33
2033-34
2034-35
2035-36
Scott
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
265
252
254
275
277
263
262
253
247
236
232
222
218
Scott
ES
Spanish
K-5
235
242
222
221
223
227
223
223
223
220
215
209
206
Scott
ES
Total
K-5
500
494
476
496
500
490
485
476
470
456
447
431
424
Vestal
ES
Total
K-5
228
257
283
288
294
290
292
287
279
278
270
267
262
Harrison Park
MS
Mandarin
6-8
80
94
111
109
92
89
96
95
98
94
100
98
96
Harrison Park
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
241
278
308
333
335
327
323
305
319
315
334
336
341
Harrison Park
MS
Total
6-8
321
372
419
442
427
416
419
400
417
409
434
434
437
Roseway Heights
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
432
421
415
391
390
382
393
379
348
350
355
373
366
Roseway Heights
MS
Spanish
6-8
83
94
93
89
84
81
84
81
78
75
79
84
85
Roseway Heights
MS
Total
6-8
551
565
572
560
554
543
555
535
498
495
512
537
531
Roseway Heights
MS
Vietnamese
6-8
36
50
64
80
80
80
78
75
72
70
78
80
80
McDaniel
HS
Neighborhood
9-12
1,380
1,375
1,325
1,269
1,209
1,144
1,002
938
905
852
832
799
779
McDaniel
HS
PISA
9-12
66
97
65
74
78
77
75
74
72
70
70
70
70
McDaniel
HS
Spanish
9-12
204
214
205
195
180
177
172
174
174
184
193
194
204
McDaniel
HS
Total
9-12
1,650
1,686
1,629
1,588
1,528
1,476
1,346
1,292
1,261
1,220
1,199
1,167
1,157
McDaniel
HS
Vietnamese
9-12
0
0
34
50
61
78
97
106
110
114
104
104
104
James John
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
220
224
232
226
222
228
233
221
216
214
209
206
203
James John
ES
Spanish
K-5
128
143
133
135
137
138
136
133
136
134
131
127
125
James John
ES
Total
K-5
348
367
365
361
359
366
369
354
352
348
340
333
328
Rosa Parks
ES
Total
K-5
177
172
160
161
159
165
168
164
168
167
166
162
159
Sitton
ES
Neighborhood
K-5
207
206
207
205
203
195
199
202
198
197
193
187
184
Sitton
ES
Spanish
K-5
128
133
138
135
130
124
118
113
113
111
108
104
102
Sitton
ES
Total
K-5
335
339
345
340
333
319
317
315
311
308
301
291
286
Astor
K8
Total
K-8
375
408
400
414
412
409
443
426
418
403
393
393
386
César Chávez
K8
Neighborhood
K-8
156
145
143
129
122
111
103
97
97
96
89
83
82
César Chávez
K8
Spanish
K-8
325
309
300
295
291
292
301
308
295
291
297
297
294
César Chávez
K8
Total
K-8
481
454
443
424
413
403
404
405
392
387
386
380
376
George
MS
Neighborhood
6-8
254
291
249
257
269
276
268
262
267
270
265
262
265
George
MS
Spanish
6-8
113
113
109
120
122
129
134
134
123
117
115
123
123
George
MS
Total
6-8
367
404
358
377
391
405
402
396
390
387
380
385
388
Roosevelt
HS
Neighborhood
9-12
1,130
1,110
1,082
1,001
970
917
850
830
782
742
744
722
719
Roosevelt
HS
PISA
9-12
71
47
38
49
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
Roosevelt
HS
Spanish
9-12
256
295
299
289
289
280
276
281
282
278
271
263
253
Roosevelt
HS
Total
9-12
1,457
1,452
1,419
1,339
1,312
1,250
1,179
1,164
1,117
1,073
1,068
1,038
1,025
Bridlemile
ES
Total
K-5
446
419
423
413
414
409
409
417
408
405
399
391
386
Capitol Hill
ES
Total
K-5
361
318
325
319
310
301
306
319
311
308
301
292
286
Hayhurst
ES
Total
K-5
335
314
290
283
274
270
266
263
266
264
262
256
252
Maplewood
ES
Total
K-5
301
295
287
288
278
265
258
261
247
245
240
235
231
Markham
ES
Total
K-5
402
341
339
325
312
340
347
353
347
339
329
315
309
Rieke
ES
Total
K-5
288
278
264
255
252
296
314
317
311
298
282
256
248
Stephenson
ES
Total
K-5
310
285
281
267
271
264
251
260
261
257
253
247
242
Gray
MS
Total
6-8
472
438
432
431
427
412
403
376
368
359
379
396
398
Jackson
MS
Total
6-8
711
715
689
683
661
659
623
549
515
513
545
549
544
Ida B Wells-Barnett
HS
Total
9-12
1,652
1,650
1,574
1,555
1,524
1,513
1,486
1,488
1,457
1,400
1,308
1,266
1,222
ACCESS
G28
Total
G28
329
323
324
315
310
296
286
278
275
274
276
277
277
Odyssey
K8
Total
K-8
227
211
217
221
220
223
222
223
224
225
230
235
240
Richmond
ES
Total
K-5
537
530
512
505
504
502
506
498
497
493
489
484
478
Winterhaven
K8
Total
K-8
316
322
316
315
311
312
312
311
310
310
310
309
308

### Table(s) detected on page 39 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|Name Type Program Grades|– Historic Enrollment –<br>2023-24 2024-25 2025-26|—- Forecast Enrollment —-<br>2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32 2032-33 2033-34 2034-35 2035-36|
|---|---|---|
|Scott<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>Scott<br>ES<br>Spanish<br>K-5<br>Scott<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Vestal<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Harrison Park<br>MS<br>Mandarin<br>6-8<br>Harrison Park<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>Harrison Park<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Roseway Heights<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>Roseway Heights<br>MS<br>Spanish<br>6-8<br>Roseway Heights<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Roseway Heights<br>MS<br>Vietnamese<br>6-8<br>McDaniel<br>HS<br>Neighborhood<br>9-12<br>McDaniel<br>HS<br>PISA<br>9-12<br>McDaniel<br>HS<br>Spanish<br>9-12<br>McDaniel<br>HS<br>Total<br>9-12<br>McDaniel<br>HS<br>Vietnamese<br>9-12<br>James John<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>James John<br>ES<br>Spanish<br>K-5<br>James John<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Rosa Parks<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Sitton<br>ES<br>Neighborhood<br>K-5<br>Sitton<br>ES<br>Spanish<br>K-5<br>Sitton<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Astor<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>César Chávez<br>K8<br>Neighborhood<br>K-8<br>César Chávez<br>K8<br>Spanish<br>K-8<br>César Chávez<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>George<br>MS<br>Neighborhood<br>6-8<br>George<br>MS<br>Spanish<br>6-8<br>George<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Roosevelt<br>HS<br>Neighborhood<br>9-12<br>Roosevelt<br>HS<br>PISA<br>9-12<br>Roosevelt<br>HS<br>Spanish<br>9-12<br>Roosevelt<br>HS<br>Total<br>9-12<br>Bridlemile<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Capitol Hill<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Hayhurst<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Maplewood<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Markham<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Rieke<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Stephenson<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Gray<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Jackson<br>MS<br>Total<br>6-8<br>Ida B Wells-Barnett<br>HS<br>Total<br>9-12<br>ACCESS<br>G28<br>Total<br>G28<br>Odyssey<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8<br>Richmond<br>ES<br>Total<br>K-5<br>Winterhaven<br>K8<br>Total<br>K-8|265<br>252<br>254<br>235<br>242<br>222<br>500<br>494<br>476<br>228<br>257<br>283<br>80<br>94<br>111<br>241<br>278<br>308<br>321<br>372<br>419<br>432<br>421<br>415<br>83<br>94<br>93<br>551<br>565<br>572<br>36<br>50<br>64<br>1,380<br>1,375<br>1,325<br>66<br>97<br>65<br>204<br>214<br>205<br>1,650<br>1,686<br>1,629<br>0<br>0<br>34<br>220<br>224<br>232<br>128<br>143<br>133<br>348<br>367<br>365<br>177<br>172<br>160<br>207<br>206<br>207<br>128<br>133<br>138<br>335<br>339<br>345<br>375<br>408<br>400<br>156<br>145<br>143<br>325<br>309<br>300<br>481<br>454<br>443<br>254<br>291<br>249<br>113<br>113<br>109<br>367<br>404<br>358<br>1,130<br>1,110<br>1,082<br>71<br>47<br>38<br>256<br>295<br>299<br>1,457<br>1,452<br>1,419<br>446<br>419<br>423<br>361<br>318<br>325<br>335<br>314<br>290<br>301<br>295<br>287<br>402<br>341<br>339<br>288<br>278<br>264<br>310<br>285<br>281<br>472<br>438<br>432<br>711<br>715<br>689<br>1,652<br>1,650<br>1,574<br>329<br>323<br>324<br>227<br>211<br>217<br>537<br>530<br>512<br>316<br>322<br>316|275<br>277<br>263<br>262<br>253<br>247<br>236<br>232<br>222<br>218<br>221<br>223<br>227<br>223<br>223<br>223<br>220<br>215<br>209<br>206<br>496<br>500<br>490<br>485<br>476<br>470<br>456<br>447<br>431<br>424<br>288<br>294<br>290<br>292<br>287<br>279<br>278<br>270<br>267<br>262<br>109<br>92<br>89<br>96<br>95<br>98<br>94<br>100<br>98<br>96<br>333<br>335<br>327<br>323<br>305<br>319<br>315<br>334<br>336<br>341<br>442<br>427<br>416<br>419<br>400<br>417<br>409<br>434<br>434<br>437<br>391<br>390<br>382<br>393<br>379<br>348<br>350<br>355<br>373<br>366<br>89<br>84<br>81<br>84<br>81<br>78<br>75<br>79<br>84<br>85<br>560<br>554<br>543<br>555<br>535<br>498<br>495<br>512<br>537<br>531<br>80<br>80<br>80<br>78<br>75<br>72<br>70<br>78<br>80<br>80<br>1,269<br>1,209<br>1,144<br>1,002<br>938<br>905<br>852<br>832<br>799<br>779<br>74<br>78<br>77<br>75<br>74<br>72<br>70<br>70<br>70<br>70<br>195<br>180<br>177<br>172<br>174<br>174<br>184<br>193<br>194<br>204<br>1,588<br>1,528<br>1,476<br>1,346<br>1,292<br>1,261<br>1,220<br>1,199<br>1,167<br>1,157<br>50<br>61<br>78<br>97<br>106<br>110<br>114<br>104<br>104<br>104<br>226<br>222<br>228<br>233<br>221<br>216<br>214<br>209<br>206<br>203<br>135<br>137<br>138<br>136<br>133<br>136<br>134<br>131<br>127<br>125<br>361<br>359<br>366<br>369<br>354<br>352<br>348<br>340<br>333<br>328<br>161<br>159<br>165<br>168<br>164<br>168<br>167<br>166<br>162<br>159<br>205<br>203<br>195<br>199<br>202<br>198<br>197<br>193<br>187<br>184<br>135<br>130<br>124<br>118<br>113<br>113<br>111<br>108<br>104<br>102<br>340<br>333<br>319<br>317<br>315<br>311<br>308<br>301<br>291<br>286<br>414<br>412<br>409<br>443<br>426<br>418<br>403<br>393<br>393<br>386<br>129<br>122<br>111<br>103<br>97<br>97<br>96<br>89<br>83<br>82<br>295<br>291<br>292<br>301<br>308<br>295<br>291<br>297<br>297<br>294<br>424<br>413<br>403<br>404<br>405<br>392<br>387<br>386<br>380<br>376<br>257<br>269<br>276<br>268<br>262<br>267<br>270<br>265<br>262<br>265<br>120<br>122<br>129<br>134<br>134<br>123<br>117<br>115<br>123<br>123<br>377<br>391<br>405<br>402<br>396<br>390<br>387<br>380<br>385<br>388<br>1,001<br>970<br>917<br>850<br>830<br>782<br>742<br>744<br>722<br>719<br>49<br>53<br>53<br>53<br>53<br>53<br>53<br>53<br>53<br>53<br>289<br>289<br>280<br>276<br>281<br>282<br>278<br>271<br>263<br>253<br>1,339<br>1,312<br>1,250<br>1,179<br>1,164<br>1,117<br>1,073<br>1,068<br>1,038<br>1,025<br>413<br>414<br>409<br>409<br>417<br>408<br>405<br>399<br>391<br>386<br>319<br>310<br>301<br>306<br>319<br>311<br>308<br>301<br>292<br>286<br>283<br>274<br>270<br>266<br>263<br>266<br>264<br>262<br>256<br>252<br>288<br>278<br>265<br>258<br>261<br>247<br>245<br>240<br>235<br>231<br>325<br>312<br>340<br>347<br>353<br>347<br>339<br>329<br>315<br>309<br>255<br>252<br>296<br>314<br>317<br>311<br>298<br>282<br>256<br>248<br>267<br>271<br>264<br>251<br>260<br>261<br>257<br>253<br>247<br>242<br>431<br>427<br>412<br>403<br>376<br>368<br>359<br>379<br>396<br>398<br>683<br>661<br>659<br>623<br>549<br>515<br>513<br>545<br>549<br>544<br>1,555<br>1,524<br>1,513<br>1,486<br>1,488<br>1,457<br>1,400<br>1,308<br>1,266<br>1,222<br>315<br>310<br>296<br>286<br>278<br>275<br>274<br>276<br>277<br>277<br>221<br>220<br>223<br>222<br>223<br>224<br>225<br>230<br>235<br>240<br>505<br>504<br>502<br>506<br>498<br>497<br>493<br>489<br>484<br>478<br>315<br>311<br>312<br>312<br>311<br>310<br>310<br>310<br>309<br>308|



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## Page 40

Table 5.5 Enrollment Projection by Grade Group: Portland Public Schools, 2026-2035 (Continued)
– Historic Enrollment –
—- Forecast Enrollment —-
Name
Type
Program
Grades
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
2026-27
2027-28
2028-29
2029-30
2030-31
2031-32
2032-33
2033-34
2034-35
2035-36
da Vinci
MS
Total
K-12
407
427
429
430
430
430
428
424
419
415
412
411
409
Benson Polytechnic
HS
Total
9-12
818
896
1,025
1,114
1,200
1,216
1,215
1,215
1,213
1,211
1,209
1,207
1,206
MLC
K12
Total
K-12
336
319
275
266
245
231
215
198
199
200
197
195
193
Other (incl. Charters)
K12
Total
K-12
2,659
2,657
2,602
2,458
2,375
2,434
2,420
2,386
2,339
2,276
2,239
2,145
2,133
Elementary Schools Subtotal
15,202
14,683
14,326
14,086
13,877
13,980
13,933
13,884
13,756
13,553
13,275
12,891
12,685
Middle Schools Subtotal
7,388
7,356
7,360
7,280
7,227
6,954
6,797
6,459
6,361
6,325
6,472
6,642
6,638
High Schools Subtotal
13,144
13,138
12,990
12,828
12,810
12,745
12,412
12,268
11,939
11,483
11,103
10,765
10,631
Other (K-8, 2-8, and K-12)
8,271
8,198
7,946
7,727
7,563
7,523
7,456
7,315
7,193
7,091
7,006
6,883
6,809
TOTAL
44,005
43,375
42,622
41,921
41,477
41,202
40,598
39,926
39,249
38,452
37,856
37,181
36,763
Sources: Portland Public Schools (historic and current enrollment); Population Research Center, PSU (enrollment forecasts).
May 19, 2026
Notes:
(A) Program and school names reflect expectations for start of 2026-27 school year.

### Table(s) detected on page 40 (PyMuPDF find_tables; verify against the original)

|Name Type Program Grades|– Historic Enrollment –<br>2023-24 2024-25 2025-26|—- Forecast Enrollment —-<br>2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32 2032-33 2033-34 2034-35 2035-36|
|---|---|---|
|da Vinci<br>MS<br>Total<br>K-12<br>Benson Polytechnic<br>HS<br>Total<br>9-12<br>MLC<br>K12<br>Total<br>K-12<br>Other(incl. Charters)<br>K12<br>Total<br>K-12|407<br>427<br>429<br>818<br>896<br>1,025<br>336<br>319<br>275<br>2,659<br>2,657<br>2,602|430<br>430<br>430<br>428<br>424<br>419<br>415<br>412<br>411<br>409<br>1,114<br>1,200<br>1,216<br>1,215<br>1,215<br>1,213<br>1,211<br>1,209<br>1,207<br>1,206<br>266<br>245<br>231<br>215<br>198<br>199<br>200<br>197<br>195<br>193<br>2,458<br>2,375<br>2,434<br>2,420<br>2,386<br>2,339<br>2,276<br>2,239<br>2,145<br>2,133|
|**Elementary Schools Subtotal**<br>15,202<br>14,683<br>14,326<br>**Middle Schools Subtotal**<br>7,388<br>7,356<br>7,360<br>**High Schools Subtotal**<br>13,144<br>13,138<br>12,990<br>**Other(K-8, 2-8, and K-12)**<br>8,271<br>8,198<br>7,946|**Elementary Schools Subtotal**<br>15,202<br>14,683<br>14,326<br>**Middle Schools Subtotal**<br>7,388<br>7,356<br>7,360<br>**High Schools Subtotal**<br>13,144<br>13,138<br>12,990<br>**Other(K-8, 2-8, and K-12)**<br>8,271<br>8,198<br>7,946|14,086<br>13,877<br>13,980<br>13,933<br>13,884<br>13,756<br>13,553<br>13,275<br>12,891<br>12,685<br>7,280<br>7,227<br>6,954<br>6,797<br>6,459<br>6,361<br>6,325<br>6,472<br>6,642<br>6,638<br>12,828<br>12,810<br>12,745<br>12,412<br>12,268<br>11,939<br>11,483<br>11,103<br>10,765<br>10,631<br>7,727<br>7,563<br>7,523<br>7,456<br>7,315<br>7,193<br>7,091<br>7,006<br>6,883<br>6,809|
|**TOTAL**<br>**44,005**<br>**43,375**<br>**42,622**|**TOTAL**<br>**44,005**<br>**43,375**<br>**42,622**|**41,921**<br>**41,477**<br>**41,202**<br>**40,598**<br>**39,926**<br>**39,249**<br>**38,452**<br>**37,856**<br>**37,181**<br>**36,763**|



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